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Denver Nuggets v Portland Trail Blazers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Denver Nuggets (Local)
Prediction 70.69%1.41fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.740%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.29%70.80%70.66%73.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.351.351.4078.74%74.23%73.80%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Portland Trail Blazers (Visit)
Prediction 29.31%3.41fair odd
EV +5.52%
Edge +1.53%
Kelly +2.12%
Growth +0.117%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.68%29.20%29.34%32.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.263.253.6034.72%30.64%30.77%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Denver Nuggets (Local): 70.69%; Portland Trail Blazers (Visit): 29.31%. For Portland Trail Blazers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.52%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +5.52%E +1.53%K +2.12%G +0.117% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.37%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.63%EV +2.88%E +0.821%K +1.15%G +0.033% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 00:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +2.59%E +0.740%K +1.04%G +0.027% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +2.59%E +0.740%K +1.04%G +0.027% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +2.59%E +0.740%K +1.04%G +0.027% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +2.59%E +0.740%K +1.04%G +0.027% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.05%EV -4.57%E -3.39%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.95%EV +2.00%E +0.575%K +0.807%G +0.016% | 2.8% | 2026-04-07 01:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +1.12%E +0.326%K +0.458%G +0.005% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 00:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +1.12%E +0.326%K +0.458%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV +1.12%E +0.326%K +0.458%G +0.005% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 00:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -10.23%E -8.05%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV +1.12%E +0.326%K +0.458%G +0.005% | 7.7% | 2026-04-07 00:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.12%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.88%EV +0.830%E +0.241%K +0.340%G +0.003% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 00:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.46%EV -3.16%E -2.30%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.54%EV +0.537%E +0.157%K +0.221%G +0.001% | 2.1% | 2026-04-06 23:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.342%E -0.101%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 00:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.342%E -0.101%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 00:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV -0.929%E -0.275%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 00:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.81%E -0.540%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-07 01:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.81%E -0.540%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 00:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.16%E -2.30%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 01:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.16%E -2.30%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.16%E -2.30%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 01:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-07 01:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-07 01:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-07 01:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-07 01:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-07 01:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 01:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 01:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.16%E -2.30%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 01:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 01:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 01:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 01:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 01:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 01:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-07 00:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -5.62%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 01:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.45%E -1.77%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.16%E -2.30%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 01:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.16%E -2.30%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 01:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 01:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 01:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.57%E -3.39%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 01:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.57%E -3.39%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 01:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.57%E -3.39%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 01:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 01:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV -6.79%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.45%E -1.77%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -7.67%E -2.43%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.67%E -2.43%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 01:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -8.55%E -2.74%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -2.45%E -1.77%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -8.55%E -2.74%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 00:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.04%E -0.740%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.57%E -3.39%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 01:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.57%E -3.39%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -10.60%E -3.48%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-07 01:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -8.81%E -6.83%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -10.60%E -3.48%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-07 01:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -1.04%E -0.740%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -15.58%E -5.41%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -15.58%E -5.41%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -15.58%E -5.41%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.87% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 27.13% | 0.2% | 2026-04-07 00:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 0.3% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 0.3% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-07 01:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.4% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.86% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 29.14% | 1.5% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57% | 2.9% | 2026-04-07 01:10 |