La escuela de los momios

Denver Nuggets v Portland Trail Blazers

Inicio: 2026-04-07 01:12 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Denver Nuggets (Local)

Predicción 70.69%1.41momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.740%
Kelly -2.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.29%70.80%70.66%73.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.351.351.4078.74%74.23%73.80%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Portland Trail Blazers (Visitante)

Predicción 29.31%3.41momio equitativo
EV +5.52%
Ventaja +1.53%
Kelly +2.12%
Crecimiento +0.117%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.68%29.20%29.34%32.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.263.253.6034.72%30.64%30.77%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +5.52%E +1.53%K +2.12%G +0.117%4.1%2026-04-07 01:10
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.37%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.63%EV +2.88%E +0.821%K +1.15%G +0.033%3.1%2026-04-07 00:40
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +2.59%E +0.740%K +1.04%G +0.027%5.5%2026-04-06 18:15
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +2.59%E +0.740%K +1.04%G +0.027%5.5%2026-04-06 19:15
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +2.59%E +0.740%K +1.04%G +0.027%5.5%2026-04-06 18:15
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +2.59%E +0.740%K +1.04%G +0.027%5.5%2026-04-06 18:15
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 72.05%EV -4.57%E -3.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.95%EV +2.00%E +0.575%K +0.807%G +0.016%2.8%2026-04-07 01:00
Unibet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +1.12%E +0.326%K +0.458%G +0.005%4.2%2026-04-07 00:55
Fliff1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +1.12%E +0.326%K +0.458%G +0.005%4.7%2026-04-07 01:10
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV +1.12%E +0.326%K +0.458%G +0.005%5.3%2026-04-07 00:59
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -10.23%E -8.05%K -37.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV +1.12%E +0.326%K +0.458%G +0.005%7.7%2026-04-07 00:44
ReBet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.12%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.88%EV +0.830%E +0.241%K +0.340%G +0.003%4.3%2026-04-07 00:55
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 71.46%EV -3.16%E -2.30%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.54%EV +0.537%E +0.157%K +0.221%G +0.001%2.1%2026-04-06 23:45
Codere (IT)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.342%E -0.101%K -0.143%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 00:55
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.342%E -0.101%K -0.143%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 00:55
MyBookie.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV -0.929%E -0.275%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 00:58
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.81%E -0.540%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-07 01:04
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.81%E -0.540%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 00:59
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.16%E -2.30%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-07 01:09
Bet Victor1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.16%E -2.30%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-07 01:10
Everygame1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.16%E -2.30%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-07 01:05
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 01:10
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 01:05
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 01:05
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 01:04
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 01:04
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 01:05
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 01:05
Dabble (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.27%E -0.992%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 01:00
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.16%E -2.30%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 01:10
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 01:10
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 01:05
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 01:05
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 01:05
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 01:05
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 01:05
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 01:04
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 00:54
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 01:10
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -5.62%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 01:04
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.45%E -1.77%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 01:10
TAB1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.16%E -2.30%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 01:05
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.16%E -2.30%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 01:09
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 01:05
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 01:10
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 01:09
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.57%E -3.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 01:05
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.57%E -3.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 01:05
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.57%E -3.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 01:05
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV -6.79%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-07 01:10
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.45%E -1.77%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -7.67%E -2.43%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 01:10
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.67%E -2.43%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 01:04
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -8.55%E -2.74%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-07 01:10
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -2.45%E -1.77%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -8.55%E -2.74%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 00:59
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.04%E -0.740%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 01:10
FanDuel1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -1.74%E -1.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 01:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.57%E -3.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 01:09
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.57%E -3.39%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 01:10
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 01:10
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -10.60%E -3.48%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-07 01:09
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -8.81%E -6.83%K -30.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -10.60%E -3.48%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-07 01:05
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -1.04%E -0.740%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -15.58%E -5.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 01:10
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -15.58%E -5.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-07 01:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -15.58%E -5.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-07 01:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.37I 72.99%NM 72.87%3.68I 27.17%NM 27.13%0.2%2026-04-07 00:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%0.3%2026-04-07 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%0.3%2026-04-07 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-04-07 01:10
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-04-07 01:10
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-04-07 01:05
ProphetX1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-04-07 01:10
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-04-07 01:10
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 70.86%3.38I 29.59%NM 29.14%1.5%2026-04-07 01:10
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%2.9%2026-04-07 01:10