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Denver Nuggets v Philadelphia 76ers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Denver Nuggets (Local)
Prediction 88.33%1.13fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -28.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.75%88.14%88.59%90.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.081.081.1096.15%92.57%92.59%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia 76ers (Visit)
Prediction 11.67%8.57fair odd
EV +16.69%
Edge +1.67%
Kelly +1.85%
Growth +0.309%
assuming max odds 10.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.58%11.86%11.41%15.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.008.188.0010.0016.67%12.22%12.50%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Denver Nuggets (Local): 88.33%; Philadelphia 76ers (Visit): 11.67%. For Philadelphia 76ers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.57. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +16.69%E +1.67%K +1.85%G +0.309% | 4.3% | 2026-03-18 01:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.94%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 10.06%EV +13.77%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.217% | 2.0% | 2026-03-18 01:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%EV +9.68%E +1.03%K +1.15%G +0.112% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 02:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.68%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.32%EV +8.52%E +0.916%K +1.03%G +0.087% | 4.2% | 2026-03-18 02:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +6.18%E +0.679%K +0.763%G +0.047% | 4.4% | 2026-03-18 02:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +5.02%E +0.557%K +0.627%G +0.031% | 3.7% | 2026-03-17 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +5.02%E +0.557%K +0.627%G +0.031% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 19:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.14%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +5.02%E +0.557%K +0.627%G +0.031% | 5.5% | 2026-03-18 01:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.14%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +5.02%E +0.557%K +0.627%G +0.031% | 5.5% | 2026-03-18 01:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.05%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000% | 8.86I 11.29%NM 10.95%EV +3.38%E +0.382%K +0.430%G +0.015% | 3.0% | 2026-03-18 01:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.99%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000% | 8.81I 11.35%NM 11.01%EV +2.80%E +0.318%K +0.358%G +0.010% | 3.1% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.07%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.93%EV +2.68%E +0.305%K +0.344%G +0.009% | 4.0% | 2026-03-18 01:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.07%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.93%EV +2.68%E +0.305%K +0.344%G +0.009% | 4.0% | 2026-03-18 01:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV +2.10%E +0.240%K +0.271%G +0.006% | 4.0% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.69%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000% | 8.55I 11.70%NM 11.31%EV -0.234%E -0.027%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -0.351%E -0.041%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -0.818%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 21:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -0.818%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 21:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -0.818%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 21:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -0.818%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 21:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.818%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.818%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-18 00:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.818%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-18 01:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.818%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-17 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.818%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -8.14%E -7.82%K -203.38%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -0.818%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-18 01:43 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.74%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000% | 8.43I 11.86%NM 11.26%EV -1.63%E -0.194%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-18 01:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -1.98%E -0.236%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -3.15%E -0.380%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-18 01:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -3.73%E -0.453%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-18 01:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -3.73%E -0.453%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-18 01:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 14:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 21:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 21:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 21:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 21:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 14:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-18 01:47 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-18 00:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 11:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-18 01:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-18 01:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-18 01:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-18 01:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 13:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.10%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.14%G +0.000% | 7.85I 12.74%NM 11.90%EV -8.40%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-18 01:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -2.84%E -2.58%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV -9.57%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-18 02:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -2.84%E -2.58%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV -9.57%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-18 01:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.84%E -2.58%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-18 02:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-18 01:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-18 01:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-18 01:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-18 01:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-18 01:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 21:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-18 01:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -2.84%E -2.58%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -15.40%E -2.12%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-18 01:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -15.99%E -2.22%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-18 02:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -18.32%E -2.62%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-18 02:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -21.24%E -3.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-18 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -21.24%E -3.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-18 02:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -29.99%E -5.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-18 02:03 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.77% | 12.15I 8.23%NM 8.23% | -0.0% | 2026-03-18 01:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-03-18 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-03-18 02:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-03-18 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-03-18 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-03-18 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-03-18 01:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-03-18 02:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.1% | 2026-03-18 01:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.61% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.39% | 2.4% | 2026-03-18 02:05 |