默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Denver Nuggets v Philadelphia 76ers

开赛时间: 2026-03-18 02:10 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Denver Nuggets (主队)

预测 88.33%1.13公平赔率
EV -2.84%
优势 -2.58%
Kelly -28.35%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.10

博彩公司预测分布
84.75%88.14%88.59%90.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.041.081.081.1096.15%92.57%92.59%90.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

Philadelphia 76ers (客队)

预测 11.67%8.57公平赔率
EV +16.69%
优势 +1.67%
Kelly +1.85%
增长率 +0.309%

假设最高赔率为 10.00

博彩公司预测分布
9.58%11.86%11.41%15.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.008.188.0010.0016.67%12.22%12.50%10.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Denver Nuggets (主队):88.33%;Philadelphia 76ers (客队):11.67%。 对于“Philadelphia 76ers (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.57。 当时有14家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为10.00,对应+16.69%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +16.69%E +1.67%K +1.85%G +0.309%4.3%2026-03-18 01:10
1xBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 89.94%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 10.06%EV +13.77%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.217%2.0%2026-03-18 01:50
Fliff🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%EV +9.68%E +1.03%K +1.15%G +0.112%4.1%2026-03-18 02:05
SportsBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.68%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.32%EV +8.52%E +0.916%K +1.03%G +0.087%4.2%2026-03-18 02:05
FanDuel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +6.18%E +0.679%K +0.763%G +0.047%4.4%2026-03-18 02:05
Fanatics🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +5.02%E +0.557%K +0.627%G +0.031%3.7%2026-03-17 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +5.02%E +0.557%K +0.627%G +0.031%4.6%2026-03-17 19:15
William Hill🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +5.02%E +0.557%K +0.627%G +0.031%5.5%2026-03-18 01:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +5.02%E +0.557%K +0.627%G +0.031%5.5%2026-03-18 01:45
Pinnacle🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 89.05%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000%8.86I 11.29%NM 10.95%EV +3.38%E +0.382%K +0.430%G +0.015%3.0%2026-03-18 01:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.99%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000%8.81I 11.35%NM 11.01%EV +2.80%E +0.318%K +0.358%G +0.010%3.1%2026-03-18 00:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.07%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.93%EV +2.68%E +0.305%K +0.344%G +0.009%4.0%2026-03-18 01:50
ReBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.07%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.93%EV +2.68%E +0.305%K +0.344%G +0.009%4.0%2026-03-18 01:45
Coolbet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV +2.10%E +0.240%K +0.271%G +0.006%4.0%2026-03-17 15:15
GTbets🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.69%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000%8.55I 11.70%NM 11.31%EV -0.234%E -0.027%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 00:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000%8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -0.351%E -0.041%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 00:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -0.818%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 21:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -0.818%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 21:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -0.818%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 21:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -0.818%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 21:10
DraftKings🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.818%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 00:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.818%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 00:50
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.818%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 01:55
BetAnything🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.818%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 13:50
BetUS🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.818%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 00:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -8.14%E -7.82%K -203.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -0.818%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-18 01:43
MyBookie.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.74%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000%8.43I 11.86%NM 11.26%EV -1.63%E -0.194%K -0.220%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 01:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -1.98%E -0.236%K -0.268%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 00:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -3.15%E -0.380%K -0.432%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 01:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -3.73%E -0.453%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 01:50
Neds🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -3.73%E -0.453%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 01:45
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 14:30
Caesars🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 00:55
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 21:25
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 21:25
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 21:25
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 21:25
Bet Right🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 14:04
Bovada🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 01:47
Everygame🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 00:55
Paddy Power🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 11:44
Sky Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 01:10
BoyleSports🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 01:55
Coral🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 01:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 13:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.10%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.14%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 11.90%EV -8.40%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 01:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -2.84%E -2.58%K -28.35%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV -9.57%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 02:00
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -2.84%E -2.58%K -28.35%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV -9.57%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 01:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.84%E -2.58%K -28.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 02:05
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 01:45
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 01:45
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 01:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 01:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 21:25
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 01:50
PlayUp🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -2.84%E -2.58%K -28.35%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -15.40%E -2.12%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 01:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -15.99%E -2.22%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 02:00
Betway🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -18.32%E -2.62%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 02:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -21.24%E -3.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 02:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -3.72%E -3.41%K -41.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -21.24%E -3.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 02:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -4.60%E -4.26%K -57.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -29.99%E -5.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-18 02:03
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly1.09I 91.74%NM 91.77%12.15I 8.23%NM 8.23%-0.0%2026-03-18 01:59
Kalshi1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-18 02:05
ProphetX1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-18 02:00
Matchbook1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-18 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-18 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-18 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-18 01:55
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-18 02:00
Polymarket1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-03-18 01:50
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 89.61%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.39%2.4%2026-03-18 02:05