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Denver Nuggets v New York Knicks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Denver Nuggets (Local)
Prediction 51.61%1.94fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.56%51.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.841.851.9056.82%54.27%54.05%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Knicks (Visit)
Prediction 48.39%2.07fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.44%48.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.971.972.0253.76%50.79%50.76%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Denver Nuggets (Local): 51.61%; New York Knicks (Visit): 48.39%. For Denver Nuggets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.90, with an expected value of -1.93%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -1.93%E -1.02%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.93%E -1.02%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.07%E -4.25%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -2.45%E -1.30%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -5.16%E -2.63%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -2.97%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -2.26%E -1.12%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -2.97%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -4.20%E -2.12%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.97%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.13%E -3.16%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.62%E -3.43%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.00%E -2.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.20%E -2.12%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.20%E -2.12%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.20%E -2.12%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.20%E -2.12%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.20%E -2.12%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.68%E -2.38%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.68%E -2.38%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.68%E -2.38%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.16%E -2.63%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.16%E -2.63%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.16%E -2.63%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.03%E -2.73%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.68%E -2.38%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.03%E -2.73%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.68%E -2.38%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -2.74%E -1.37%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.16%E -2.63%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 02:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.62%E -3.43%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.62%E -3.43%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -8.13%E -4.57%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -4.68%E -2.38%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 02:06 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -8.13%E -4.57%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -6.62%E -3.43%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -8.13%E -4.57%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -7.10%E -3.70%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 02:07 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -9.16%E -5.20%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -10.00%E -5.38%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.50% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.50% | 0.0% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 0.3% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 0.3% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 0.3% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.01% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.99% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08% | 2.5% | 2026-03-07 02:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84% | 2.9% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |