Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Denver Nuggets v New York Knicks

Início: 2026-03-07 02:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Denver Nuggets (Local)

Previsão 51.61%1.94odd justa
EV -1.93%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -2.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.56%51.64%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.761.841.851.9056.82%54.27%54.05%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Knicks (Visitante)

Previsão 48.39%2.07odd justa
EV -2.26%
Vantagem -1.12%
Kelly -2.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%48.44%48.36%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.861.971.972.0253.76%50.79%50.76%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Denver Nuggets (Local): 51.61%; New York Knicks (Visitante): 48.39%. Para Denver Nuggets (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.94. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.90, com valor esperado de -1.93%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -1.93%E -1.02%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-07 02:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.93%E -1.02%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.07%E -4.25%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 02:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -2.45%E -1.30%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -5.16%E -2.63%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 02:09
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -2.97%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -2.26%E -1.12%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-07 02:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -2.97%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -4.20%E -2.12%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 01:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.97%E -1.58%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.13%E -3.16%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 02:10
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 02:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 02:09
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 02:09
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 02:09
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 02:10
Everygame🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 02:09
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 02:10
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.48%E -1.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.62%E -3.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 02:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.00%E -2.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 02:10
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 02:10
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 02:10
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 02:09
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 02:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 02:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 02:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 02:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 02:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 02:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 02:10
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.20%E -2.12%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:09
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.20%E -2.12%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:09
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.20%E -2.12%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:09
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.20%E -2.12%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:09
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.20%E -2.12%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:09
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.68%E -2.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 02:10
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.68%E -2.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 02:10
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.68%E -2.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 02:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.16%E -2.63%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 01:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.16%E -2.63%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 02:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.51%E -2.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.16%E -2.63%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 01:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.03%E -2.73%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.68%E -2.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 02:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.03%E -2.73%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.68%E -2.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 02:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -2.74%E -1.37%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 01:59
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:09
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:10
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.16%E -2.63%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 02:10
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 02:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 02:10
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 02:10
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 02:09
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 02:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.62%E -3.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 02:10
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 02:09
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 02:10
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 02:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.23%E -1.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 02:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.65%E -2.90%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 02:09
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.09%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.62%E -3.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 02:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -8.13%E -4.57%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -4.68%E -2.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 02:06
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -8.13%E -4.57%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -6.62%E -3.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 02:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -8.13%E -4.57%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -7.10%E -3.70%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 02:07
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -9.16%E -5.20%K -12.05%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -10.00%E -5.38%K -11.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 02:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.50%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.50%0.0%2026-03-07 02:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-03-07 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-03-07 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-03-07 02:10
ProphetX1.95I 51.28%NM 51.01%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.99%0.5%2026-03-07 02:10
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-03-07 02:09
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-03-07 02:10
Novig1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%2.5%2026-03-07 02:10
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%2.9%2026-03-07 02:09
BetOpenly1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%6.7%2026-03-07 01:59