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Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Denver Nuggets (Local)
Prediction 56.52%1.77fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.948%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.42%56.48%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.701.691.7461.35%58.94%59.17%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit)
Prediction 43.48%2.30fair odd
EV -0.873%
Edge -0.383%
Kelly -0.682%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%43.58%43.52%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.182.202.2848.08%45.86%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Denver Nuggets (Local): 56.52%; Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit): 43.48%. For Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.28, with an expected value of -0.873%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.65%E -0.948%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -6.09%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 20:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.65%E -0.948%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -6.09%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 20:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.65%E -0.948%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -6.09%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 20:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.65%E -0.948%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -6.09%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 20:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.74%E -0.771%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-01 18:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.53%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 18:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.96%E -3.25%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 20:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.96%E -3.25%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 20:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.96%E -3.25%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 20:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.96%E -3.25%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 20:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 20:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 19:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 19:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 20:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.53%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 20:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -7.39%E -3.47%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 20:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 20:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 20:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -0.873%E -0.383%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-01 20:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-01 20:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-01 20:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-01 18:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 20:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -1.74%E -0.771%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-01 20:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.92%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 19:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 20:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 20:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 19:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 19:43 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 20:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.18%E -0.968%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 19:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.18%E -0.968%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 20:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.18%E -0.968%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 19:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.18%E -0.968%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 19:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.18%E -0.968%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 20:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.18%E -0.968%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 19:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -2.61%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 20:33 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.92%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 19:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 19:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.53%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-01 20:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 20:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 20:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 20:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 20:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 20:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.53%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 20:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%EV -8.26%E -3.92%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-01 20:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -9.57%E -4.60%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-01 20:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -1.74%E -0.771%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 19:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -3.92%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 20:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 20:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 20:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 20:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 19:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.53%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 20:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.53%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 20:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.53%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 20:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.53%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 19:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.53%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 19:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.18%E -0.968%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 20:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 20:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 20:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.87%E -4.83%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -5.66%E -2.61%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 20:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.66% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 42.34% | -0.3% | 2026-03-01 20:24 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.11% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.89% | 0.1% | 2026-03-01 20:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 0.2% | 2026-03-01 20:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-03-01 20:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-03-01 20:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-03-01 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-03-01 20:34 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 20:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-03-01 20:34 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-03-01 20:29 |