La escuela de los momios

Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves

Inicio: 2026-03-01 20:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Denver Nuggets (Local)

Predicción 56.52%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -0.948%
Kelly -2.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.83%56.42%56.48%57.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.631.701.691.7461.35%58.94%59.17%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Minnesota Timberwolves (Visitante)

Predicción 43.48%2.30momio equitativo
EV -0.873%
Ventaja -0.383%
Kelly -0.682%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.31%43.58%43.52%45.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.082.182.202.2848.08%45.86%45.45%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.65%E -0.948%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -6.09%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 20:25
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.65%E -0.948%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -6.09%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 20:24
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.65%E -0.948%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -6.09%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 20:24
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.65%E -0.948%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -6.09%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 20:25
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.74%E -0.771%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-01 18:29
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.53%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 18:24
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.96%E -3.25%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 20:24
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.96%E -3.25%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 20:25
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.96%E -3.25%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 20:24
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.96%E -3.25%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 20:24
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 20:29
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 19:19
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 19:34
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 20:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.53%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 20:19
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -7.39%E -3.47%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 18:25
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 20:24
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 20:24
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 20:24
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -0.873%E -0.383%K -0.682%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-01 20:24
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 20:34
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 20:05
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 18:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 20:24
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -1.74%E -0.771%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 20:34
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.92%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 19:59
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 20:30
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 20:19
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 19:59
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 19:43
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 20:35
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.18%E -0.968%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 19:34
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.18%E -0.968%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 20:09
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.18%E -0.968%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 19:40
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.18%E -0.968%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 19:29
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.18%E -0.968%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 20:34
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.18%E -0.968%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 19:44
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -2.61%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 20:33
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.92%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 19:15
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 19:34
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.53%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 20:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 20:24
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 20:24
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 20:29
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 20:15
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 20:15
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.53%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 20:29
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%EV -8.26%E -3.92%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 20:19
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -9.57%E -4.60%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 20:25
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -1.74%E -0.771%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 19:29
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -3.92%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 20:09
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 20:09
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 20:09
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 20:09
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 19:59
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.53%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 20:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.53%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 20:30
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.53%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 20:34
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.53%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.53%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 19:40
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.18%E -0.968%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 20:34
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 20:29
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 20:34
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.87%E -4.83%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -5.66%E -2.61%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 20:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 57.66%2.37I 42.19%NM 42.34%-0.3%2026-03-01 20:24
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 57.11%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.89%0.1%2026-03-01 20:35
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-03-01 20:34
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-03-01 20:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-03-01 20:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-03-01 20:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-03-01 20:34
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-01 20:29
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-03-01 20:34
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-03-01 20:29