Language:English
Denver Nuggets v Los Angeles Lakers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Denver Nuggets (Local)
Prediction 60.13%1.66fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -4.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.73%60.14%60.15%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.581.581.6265.79%63.21%63.29%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Los Angeles Lakers (Visit)
Prediction 39.87%2.51fair odd
EV -0.322%
Edge -0.129%
Kelly -0.214%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%39.86%39.85%41.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.222.402.402.5045.05%41.73%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Denver Nuggets (Local): 60.13%; Los Angeles Lakers (Visit): 39.87%. For Los Angeles Lakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -0.322%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.59%E -1.60%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -1.92%E -0.779%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-06 03:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -2.59%E -1.60%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.91%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.59%E -1.60%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.59%E -1.60%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 03:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.59%E -1.60%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.11%E -2.15%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 03:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.59%E -1.60%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.59%E -1.60%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.19%E -1.98%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.32%E -0.945%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.19%E -1.98%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.19%E -1.98%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 03:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.19%E -1.98%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.79%E -2.37%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.32%E -0.945%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-06 03:07 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.79%E -2.37%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.11%E -1.28%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.79%E -2.37%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.11%E -1.28%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.79%E -2.37%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.11%E -1.28%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.79%E -2.37%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.11%E -1.28%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.79%E -2.37%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 02:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.79%E -2.37%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.79%E -2.37%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.79%E -2.37%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.79%E -2.37%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.40%E -2.76%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.51%E -1.45%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 03:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.40%E -2.76%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 03:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.40%E -2.76%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.40%E -2.76%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 03:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.40%E -2.76%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.11%E -2.15%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 03:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.40%E -2.76%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.50%E -2.32%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 02:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -1.92%E -0.779%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.32%E -0.945%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 03:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.32%E -0.945%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.11%E -2.15%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.11%E -2.15%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.11%E -2.15%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.11%E -2.15%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 03:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.11%E -2.15%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.20%E -3.97%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.12%E -0.451%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 02:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.20%E -3.97%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.32%E -0.945%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -6.20%E -3.97%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -4.71%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.20%E -3.97%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.11%E -2.15%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.73%EV -6.20%E -3.97%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%EV -11.49%E -5.17%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -7.40%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.10%E -3.05%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.00%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.322%E -0.129%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.00%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.32%E -0.945%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.00%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.32%E -0.945%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.00%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -5.50%E -2.32%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 03:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -8.60%E -5.66%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -3.51%E -1.45%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38% | -0.0% | 2026-03-06 02:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05% | 1.1% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 1.3% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-03-06 03:10 |