La escuela de los momios

Denver Nuggets v Los Angeles Lakers

Inicio: 2026-03-06 03:14 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Denver Nuggets (Local)

Predicción 60.13%1.66momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -1.60%
Kelly -4.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.73%60.14%60.15%62.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.581.581.6265.79%63.21%63.29%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Lakers (Visitante)

Predicción 39.87%2.51momio equitativo
EV -0.322%
Ventaja -0.129%
Kelly -0.214%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.97%39.86%39.85%41.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.222.402.402.5045.05%41.73%41.67%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.59%E -1.60%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -1.92%E -0.779%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-06 03:09
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -2.59%E -1.60%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.91%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 03:10
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.59%E -1.60%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 03:10
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.59%E -1.60%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 03:09
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.59%E -1.60%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.11%E -2.15%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 03:09
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.59%E -1.60%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 03:10
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.59%E -1.60%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 03:10
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.19%E -1.98%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.32%E -0.945%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-06 03:10
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.19%E -1.98%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 03:10
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.19%E -1.98%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 03:09
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.19%E -1.98%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 03:10
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.79%E -2.37%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.32%E -0.945%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-06 03:07
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.79%E -2.37%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.11%E -1.28%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 03:10
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.79%E -2.37%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.11%E -1.28%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 03:10
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.79%E -2.37%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.11%E -1.28%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 03:10
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.79%E -2.37%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.11%E -1.28%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 03:10
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.79%E -2.37%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 02:59
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.79%E -2.37%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 03:10
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.79%E -2.37%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 03:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.79%E -2.37%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 03:10
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.79%E -2.37%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.30%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 03:10
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.40%E -2.76%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.51%E -1.45%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 03:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.40%E -2.76%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 03:00
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.40%E -2.76%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 03:10
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.40%E -2.76%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 03:09
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.40%E -2.76%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.11%E -2.15%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 03:00
MyBookie.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.40%E -2.76%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.50%E -2.32%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 02:59
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -1.92%E -0.779%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 03:10
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.32%E -0.945%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 03:08
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.32%E -0.945%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 03:10
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 03:10
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 03:10
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.11%E -2.15%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 03:10
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.11%E -2.15%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 03:10
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 03:10
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 03:10
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 03:10
Dabble (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 03:10
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 03:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 03:10
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 03:10
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 03:10
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 03:10
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 03:10
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.11%E -2.15%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 03:10
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.11%E -2.15%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 03:00
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.11%E -2.15%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 03:10
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 03:10
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 03:10
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.20%E -3.97%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.12%E -0.451%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 02:59
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.20%E -3.97%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.32%E -0.945%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 03:10
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -6.20%E -3.97%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -4.71%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 03:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.20%E -3.97%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.11%E -2.15%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 03:10
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.73%EV -6.20%E -3.97%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%EV -11.49%E -5.17%K -9.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 03:10
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.31%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 03:10
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -7.40%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.10%E -3.05%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 03:10
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.00%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.322%E -0.129%K -0.214%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 03:10
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.00%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.32%E -0.945%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 03:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.00%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.32%E -0.945%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 03:10
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.00%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -5.50%E -2.32%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 03:00
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -8.60%E -5.66%K -16.55%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -3.51%E -1.45%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 03:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38%-0.0%2026-03-06 02:59
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-03-06 03:10
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-06 03:10
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-06 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-03-06 03:10
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-03-06 03:10
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05%1.1%2026-03-06 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-03-06 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-03-06 03:10
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-03-06 03:10