L’École des cotes

Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-26 02:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Denver Nuggets (Local)

Prévision 81.99%1.22cote équitable
EV -0.790%
Avantage -0.653%
Kelly -3.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.30%81.90%82.17%84.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.131.171.171.2188.50%85.72%85.47%82.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dallas Mavericks (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.01%5.55cote équitable
EV +8.05%
Avantage +1.34%
Kelly +1.61%
Croissance +0.130%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.97%18.10%17.83%21.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.335.215.256.0023.09%19.18%19.05%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.53%E -5.73%K -46.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +8.05%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.130%4.4%2026-03-26 02:09
Fliff1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.53%E -5.73%K -46.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +8.05%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.130%4.4%2026-03-26 02:10
BetAnything1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +3.55%E +0.617%K +0.747%G +0.026%3.6%2026-03-26 02:10
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 83.11%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.89%EV +2.83%E +0.495%K +0.600%G +0.017%3.7%2026-03-26 02:10
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -5.71%E -4.96%K -38.06%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +2.65%E +0.464%K +0.563%G +0.015%4.5%2026-03-26 02:10
Tipico (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.35%E -6.50%K -56.53%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +2.65%E +0.464%K +0.563%G +0.015%6.0%2026-03-26 02:10
BetUS1.16I 86.21%NM 82.97%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV +1.75%E +0.309%K +0.376%G +0.007%3.9%2026-03-26 02:09
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 82.77%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 17.23%EV +1.21%E +0.215%K +0.261%G +0.003%3.3%2026-03-26 02:09
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV +1.03%E +0.183%K +0.223%G +0.002%4.0%2026-03-26 02:10
GTbets1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +0.846%E +0.151%K +0.184%G +0.002%4.1%2026-03-26 02:09
ReBet1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -0.955%E -0.174%K -0.212%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-26 01:59
Unibet (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.955%E -0.174%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 01:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.955%E -0.174%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 01:59
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.955%E -0.174%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 02:09
BetMGM1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.955%E -0.174%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 02:09
Fanatics1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.955%E -0.174%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 02:10
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -3.25%E -2.75%K -18.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV -2.76%E -0.510%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-26 02:09
Coolbet1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.76%E -0.510%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 02:09
Everygame1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.76%E -0.510%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 02:09
Codere (IT)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.76%E -0.510%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 02:01
MyBookie.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.10%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.90%EV -4.20%E -0.789%K -0.971%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 02:00
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -3.25%E -2.75%K -18.05%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -4.56%E -0.860%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-26 02:10
Unibet (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.56%E -0.860%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 02:10
Unibet (NL)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.56%E -0.860%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 02:10
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.56%E -0.860%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 02:10
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.56%E -0.860%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 02:10
Neds1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.46%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 02:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.46%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.71%E -4.96%K -38.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.46%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 02:09
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.71%E -4.96%K -38.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.46%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 02:09
Dabble (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.71%E -4.96%K -38.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.46%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 02:10
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -3.25%E -2.75%K -18.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -6.36%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 02:09
NetBet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -7.35%E -6.50%K -56.53%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -6.36%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 02:00
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.25%E -2.75%K -18.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 02:10
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 02:10
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 02:10
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 02:10
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 02:10
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 02:10
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 02:09
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 02:10
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 02:10
FanDuel1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.43%E -2.04%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 02:10
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.25%E -2.75%K -18.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 02:10
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 02:10
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 02:10
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 02:10
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 02:10
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.53%E -5.73%K -46.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 01:59
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.25%E -2.75%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -11.76%E -2.40%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 02:10
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.25%E -2.75%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -11.76%E -2.40%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 02:10
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.25%E -2.75%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -11.76%E -2.40%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 02:10
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -11.76%E -2.40%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-26 02:10
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.71%E -4.96%K -38.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -11.76%E -2.40%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-26 02:10
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -2.43%E -2.04%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -12.66%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 02:10
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -0.790%E -0.653%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -17.16%E -3.73%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 01:59
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%EV -6.53%E -5.73%K -46.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -17.16%E -3.73%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-26 02:09
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -1.61%E -1.34%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -18.96%E -4.21%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 02:10
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -1.61%E -1.34%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -22.02%E -5.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -1.61%E -1.34%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -22.02%E -5.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 02:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.18I 84.75%NM 84.83%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.17%-0.1%2026-03-26 01:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%0.3%2026-03-26 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%0.3%2026-03-26 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%0.3%2026-03-26 02:10
Polymarket1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-03-26 02:10
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-03-26 02:10
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-03-26 02:10
ProphetX1.19I 84.03%NM 82.85%5.75I 17.39%NM 17.15%1.4%2026-03-26 02:10
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 82.97%5.75I 17.39%NM 17.03%2.1%2026-03-26 02:10
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%2.9%2026-03-26 02:10