La escuela de los momios

Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks

Inicio: 2026-03-26 02:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Denver Nuggets (Local)

Predicción 81.99%1.22momio equitativo
EV -0.790%
Ventaja -0.653%
Kelly -3.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.30%81.90%82.17%84.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.131.171.171.2188.50%85.72%85.47%82.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dallas Mavericks (Visitante)

Predicción 18.01%5.55momio equitativo
EV +8.05%
Ventaja +1.34%
Kelly +1.61%
Crecimiento +0.130%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.97%18.10%17.83%21.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.335.215.256.0023.09%19.18%19.05%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.53%E -5.73%K -46.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +8.05%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.130%4.4%2026-03-26 02:09
Fliff1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.53%E -5.73%K -46.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +8.05%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.130%4.4%2026-03-26 02:10
BetAnything1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +3.55%E +0.617%K +0.747%G +0.026%3.6%2026-03-26 02:10
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 83.11%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.89%EV +2.83%E +0.495%K +0.600%G +0.017%3.7%2026-03-26 02:10
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -5.71%E -4.96%K -38.06%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +2.65%E +0.464%K +0.563%G +0.015%4.5%2026-03-26 02:10
Tipico (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.35%E -6.50%K -56.53%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +2.65%E +0.464%K +0.563%G +0.015%6.0%2026-03-26 02:10
BetUS1.16I 86.21%NM 82.97%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV +1.75%E +0.309%K +0.376%G +0.007%3.9%2026-03-26 02:09
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 82.77%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 17.23%EV +1.21%E +0.215%K +0.261%G +0.003%3.3%2026-03-26 02:09
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV +1.03%E +0.183%K +0.223%G +0.002%4.0%2026-03-26 02:10
GTbets1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +0.846%E +0.151%K +0.184%G +0.002%4.1%2026-03-26 02:09
ReBet1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -0.955%E -0.174%K -0.212%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-26 01:59
Unibet (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.955%E -0.174%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 01:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.955%E -0.174%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 01:59
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.955%E -0.174%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 02:09
BetMGM1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.955%E -0.174%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 02:09
Fanatics1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.955%E -0.174%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 02:10
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -3.25%E -2.75%K -18.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV -2.76%E -0.510%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-26 02:09
Coolbet1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.76%E -0.510%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 02:09
Everygame1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.76%E -0.510%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 02:09
Codere (IT)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.76%E -0.510%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 02:01
MyBookie.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.10%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.90%EV -4.20%E -0.789%K -0.971%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 02:00
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -3.25%E -2.75%K -18.05%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -4.56%E -0.860%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-26 02:10
Unibet (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.56%E -0.860%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 02:10
Unibet (NL)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.56%E -0.860%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 02:10
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.56%E -0.860%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 02:10
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.56%E -0.860%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 02:10
Neds1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.46%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 02:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.46%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.71%E -4.96%K -38.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.46%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 02:09
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.71%E -4.96%K -38.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.46%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 02:09
Dabble (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.71%E -4.96%K -38.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.46%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 02:10
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -3.25%E -2.75%K -18.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -6.36%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 02:09
NetBet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -7.35%E -6.50%K -56.53%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -6.36%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 02:00
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.25%E -2.75%K -18.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 02:10
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 02:10
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 02:10
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 02:10
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 02:10
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 02:10
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 02:09
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 02:10
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 02:10
FanDuel1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.43%E -2.04%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 02:10
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.25%E -2.75%K -18.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 02:10
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 02:10
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 02:10
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 02:10
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 02:10
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.53%E -5.73%K -46.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 01:59
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.25%E -2.75%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -11.76%E -2.40%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 02:10
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.25%E -2.75%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -11.76%E -2.40%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 02:10
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.25%E -2.75%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -11.76%E -2.40%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 02:10
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -11.76%E -2.40%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-26 02:10
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.71%E -4.96%K -38.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -11.76%E -2.40%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-26 02:10
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -2.43%E -2.04%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -12.66%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 02:10
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -0.790%E -0.653%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -17.16%E -3.73%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 01:59
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%EV -6.53%E -5.73%K -46.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -17.16%E -3.73%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-26 02:09
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -1.61%E -1.34%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -18.96%E -4.21%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 02:10
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -1.61%E -1.34%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -22.02%E -5.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -1.61%E -1.34%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -22.02%E -5.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 02:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.18I 84.75%NM 84.83%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.17%-0.1%2026-03-26 01:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%0.3%2026-03-26 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%0.3%2026-03-26 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%0.3%2026-03-26 02:10
Polymarket1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-03-26 02:10
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-03-26 02:10
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-03-26 02:10
ProphetX1.19I 84.03%NM 82.85%5.75I 17.39%NM 17.15%1.4%2026-03-26 02:10
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 82.97%5.75I 17.39%NM 17.03%2.1%2026-03-26 02:10
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%2.9%2026-03-26 02:10