Language:English
Dallas Mavericks v Sacramento Kings
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dallas Mavericks (Local)
Prediction 72.07%1.39fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.918%
Kelly -3.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%71.87%72.00%73.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.331.321.3778.13%75.45%75.76%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sacramento Kings (Visit)
Prediction 27.93%3.58fair odd
EV +1.93%
Edge +0.528%
Kelly +0.728%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.11%28.13%28.00%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.403.403.6533.33%29.41%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Mavericks (Local): 72.07%; Sacramento Kings (Visit): 27.93%. For Sacramento Kings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.02%E -5.44%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +1.93%E +0.528%K +0.728%G +0.014% | 4.9% | 2026-02-27 01:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.33%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.67%EV +1.37%E +0.377%K +0.521%G +0.007% | 3.3% | 2026-02-26 23:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.532%E +0.148%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 23:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.532%E +0.148%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 23:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.532%E +0.148%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 23:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.532%E +0.148%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 23:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.532%E +0.148%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 23:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.532%E +0.148%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-02-27 01:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.532%E +0.148%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-02-27 01:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.532%E +0.148%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-02-27 01:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.74%E -6.05%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +0.532%E +0.148%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 01:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -0.864%E -0.243%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-27 01:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -0.864%E -0.243%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 23:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.864%E -0.243%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 23:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.864%E -0.243%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 23:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.864%E -0.243%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 23:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%EV -1.98%E -1.45%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%EV -2.26%E -0.646%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-02-26 19:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.26%E -0.646%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 01:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.26%E -0.646%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-26 23:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.26%E -0.646%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 01:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.26%E -0.646%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-26 21:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.26%E -0.646%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-27 01:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.26%E -0.646%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-26 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.74%E -6.05%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -2.26%E -0.646%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 23:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.74%E -6.05%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -2.26%E -0.646%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 23:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.99%EV -2.70%E -2.00%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 28.01%EV -3.10%E -0.893%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-02-27 01:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.66%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-27 01:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.66%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-27 01:31 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.66%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-27 01:36 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -4.14%E -3.11%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -4.49%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 00:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.42%E -2.55%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 01:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.42%E -2.55%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 01:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.14%E -3.11%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 21:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.14%E -3.11%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 01:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 01:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 01:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 01:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 00:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 01:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 00:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -1.98%E -1.45%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-27 01:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -1.98%E -1.45%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-27 01:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -1.98%E -1.45%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-27 01:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -1.98%E -1.45%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-27 01:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -4.14%E -3.11%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -7.29%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 21:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -1.26%E -0.918%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -7.85%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-27 01:38 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.02%E -5.44%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.85%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 01:27 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -1.26%E -0.918%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-27 01:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -1.26%E -0.918%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-27 01:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.70%E -2.00%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-27 01:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.70%E -2.00%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-27 01:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.70%E -2.00%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-27 01:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.70%E -2.00%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-27 01:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.42%E -2.55%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.42%E -2.55%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.42%E -2.55%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 01:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.42%E -2.55%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 01:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.42%E -2.55%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 01:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.14%E -3.11%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 01:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 01:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.98%E -1.45%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 01:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.70%E -2.00%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 01:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.14%E -3.11%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 01:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.98%E -1.45%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.22%E -5.41%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 01:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -16.22%E -5.41%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-27 01:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-02-27 01:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-02-27 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-02-27 01:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-02-27 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-02-27 01:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-02-27 01:34 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-02-27 01:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-02-27 01:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.41% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.59% | 1.5% | 2026-02-27 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70% | 1.7% | 2026-02-27 01:40 |