La escuela de los momios

Dallas Mavericks v Sacramento Kings

Inicio: 2026-02-27 01:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dallas Mavericks (Local)

Predicción 72.07%1.39momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.918%
Kelly -3.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.81%71.87%72.00%73.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.331.321.3778.13%75.45%75.76%72.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sacramento Kings (Visitante)

Predicción 27.93%3.58momio equitativo
EV +1.93%
Ventaja +0.528%
Kelly +0.728%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.11%28.13%28.00%31.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.403.403.6533.33%29.41%29.41%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -7.02%E -5.44%K -24.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +1.93%E +0.528%K +0.728%G +0.014%4.9%2026-02-27 01:35
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 73.33%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.67%EV +1.37%E +0.377%K +0.521%G +0.007%3.3%2026-02-26 23:14
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.532%E +0.148%K +0.205%G +0.001%4.1%2026-02-26 23:15
Coolbet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.532%E +0.148%K +0.205%G +0.001%4.1%2026-02-26 23:19
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.532%E +0.148%K +0.205%G +0.001%4.1%2026-02-26 23:14
GTbets1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.532%E +0.148%K +0.205%G +0.001%4.1%2026-02-26 23:20
Everygame1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.532%E +0.148%K +0.205%G +0.001%4.1%2026-02-26 23:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.532%E +0.148%K +0.205%G +0.001%4.7%2026-02-27 01:40
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.532%E +0.148%K +0.205%G +0.001%4.7%2026-02-27 01:39
Caesars1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.532%E +0.148%K +0.205%G +0.001%4.7%2026-02-27 01:34
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.74%E -6.05%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +0.532%E +0.148%K +0.205%G +0.001%5.9%2026-02-27 01:29
SportsBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -0.864%E -0.243%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 01:20
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -0.864%E -0.243%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 23:49
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.864%E -0.243%K -0.339%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 23:19
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.864%E -0.243%K -0.339%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 23:20
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.864%E -0.243%K -0.339%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 23:20
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%EV -1.98%E -1.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%EV -2.26%E -0.646%K -0.904%G +0.000%2.1%2026-02-26 19:20
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.26%E -0.646%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 01:20
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.26%E -0.646%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 23:15
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.26%E -0.646%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 01:25
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.26%E -0.646%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 21:30
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.26%E -0.646%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 01:24
BetAnything1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.26%E -0.646%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.74%E -6.05%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -2.26%E -0.646%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 23:14
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.74%E -6.05%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -2.26%E -0.646%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 23:14
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 71.99%EV -2.70%E -2.00%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 28.01%EV -3.10%E -0.893%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-27 01:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.66%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 01:29
Codere (IT)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.66%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 01:31
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.66%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 01:36
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -4.14%E -3.11%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -4.49%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 00:39
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.42%E -2.55%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 01:34
theScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.42%E -2.55%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 01:30
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.14%E -3.11%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 21:45
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.14%E -3.11%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 01:25
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 01:20
Dabble (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 01:24
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 01:39
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 00:35
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 01:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 00:34
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -1.98%E -1.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-27 01:35
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -1.98%E -1.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-27 01:34
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -1.98%E -1.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-27 01:34
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -1.98%E -1.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-27 01:34
MyBookie.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -4.14%E -3.11%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -7.29%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 21:33
Bet Victor1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -1.26%E -0.918%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -7.85%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-27 01:38
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.02%E -5.44%K -24.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.85%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 01:27
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -1.26%E -0.918%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 01:34
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -1.26%E -0.918%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 01:34
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.70%E -2.00%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 01:34
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.70%E -2.00%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 01:34
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.70%E -2.00%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 01:35
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.70%E -2.00%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 01:35
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.42%E -2.55%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 19:30
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.42%E -2.55%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 19:30
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.42%E -2.55%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 01:29
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.42%E -2.55%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 01:30
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.42%E -2.55%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.14%E -3.11%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 01:30
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 01:29
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.98%E -1.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 01:39
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.70%E -2.00%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 01:34
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.14%E -3.11%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 01:34
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.98%E -1.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.22%E -5.41%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 01:34
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -16.22%E -5.41%K -8.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 01:38
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-02-27 01:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-02-27 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-02-27 01:39
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-02-27 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-02-27 01:40
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-02-27 01:34
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-02-27 01:25
ProphetX1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-02-27 01:40
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 72.41%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.59%1.5%2026-02-27 01:40
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-02-27 01:40