Language:English
Dallas Mavericks v Orlando Magic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dallas Mavericks (Local)
Prediction 30.32%3.30fair odd
EV +3.10%
Edge +0.912%
Kelly +1.29%
Growth +0.040%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%30.37%30.18%32.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.123.103.4034.72%32.02%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Orlando Magic (Visit)
Prediction 69.68%1.44fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -6.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.29%69.63%69.82%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.371.381.4075.76%72.94%72.46%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Mavericks (Local): 30.32%; Orlando Magic (Visit): 69.68%. For Dallas Mavericks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV +3.10%E +0.912%K +1.29%G +0.040% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +1.58%E +0.473%K +0.674%G +0.011% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 00:38 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +1.58%E +0.473%K +0.674%G +0.011% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV +0.371%E +0.112%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +0.067%E +0.020%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 00:37 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.40%EV -0.236%E -0.072%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.60%EV -4.54%E -3.32%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -1.15%E -0.351%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.45%E -0.446%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.45%E -0.446%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.54%E -3.32%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 00:38 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.45%E -0.446%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.45%E -0.446%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.45%E -0.446%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.63%E -4.95%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -1.75%E -0.541%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.43%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 00:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -2.36%E -0.732%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.97%E -0.927%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.54%E -3.32%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.97%E -0.927%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.54%E -3.32%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.97%E -0.927%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.54%E -3.32%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.97%E -0.927%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.97%E -0.927%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.97%E -0.927%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.97%E -0.927%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -5.39%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -3.15%E -2.27%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 00:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.00%E -1.93%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.45%E -1.75%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.00%E -1.93%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.45%E -1.75%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -6.00%E -1.93%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.15%E -2.27%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 00:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.00%E -1.93%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.00%E -1.93%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.00%E -1.93%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.00%E -1.93%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.93%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.00%E -1.93%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.00%E -1.93%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.00%E -1.93%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 00:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.18%EV -6.30%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.82%EV -2.45%E -1.75%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -7.21%E -2.36%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 00:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -7.51%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.45%E -1.75%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.51%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.51%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.51%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 00:32 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.51%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.51%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.51%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.51%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.45%E -1.75%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.15%E -2.27%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 00:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.03%E -6.08%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 00:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.55%E -3.57%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.45%E -1.75%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.55%E -3.57%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.45%E -1.75%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -10.55%E -3.57%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -8.03%E -6.08%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -12.67%E -4.40%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.45%E -1.75%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -12.67%E -4.40%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.45%E -1.75%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -12.67%E -4.40%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.45%E -1.75%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.48I 28.74%NM 28.69% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.31% | 0.2% | 2026-04-04 00:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 00:39 |
| Novig◎ | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.90% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.10% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82% | 2.3% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 2.7% | 2026-04-04 00:40 |