L’École des cotes

Dallas Mavericks v Orlando Magic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 00:41 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dallas Mavericks (Local)

Prévision 30.32%3.30cote équitable
EV +3.10%
Avantage +0.912%
Kelly +1.29%
Croissance +0.040%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.57%30.37%30.18%32.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.123.103.4034.72%32.02%32.26%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Orlando Magic (Visiteur)

Prévision 69.68%1.44cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -6.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.29%69.63%69.82%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.371.381.4075.76%72.94%72.46%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV +3.10%E +0.912%K +1.29%G +0.040%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 00:39
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +1.58%E +0.473%K +0.674%G +0.011%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 00:38
BetAnything3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +1.58%E +0.473%K +0.674%G +0.011%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 00:40
Pinnacle3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV +0.371%E +0.112%K +0.160%G +0.001%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-04 00:39
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +0.067%E +0.020%K +0.029%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 00:37
LowVig.ag3.29I 30.40%NM 29.40%EV -0.236%E -0.072%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.60%EV -4.54%E -3.32%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 00:39
BetOnline.ag3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -1.15%E -0.351%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 00:39
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.45%E -0.446%K -0.644%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 00:40
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.45%E -0.446%K -0.644%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.54%E -3.32%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 00:38
GTbets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.45%E -0.446%K -0.644%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 00:39
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.45%E -0.446%K -0.644%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 00:39
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.45%E -0.446%K -0.644%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.63%E -4.95%K -19.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 00:40
Marathon Bet3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -1.75%E -0.541%K -0.782%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.43%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 00:29
Caesars3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -2.36%E -0.732%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 00:39
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.97%E -0.927%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.54%E -3.32%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 00:40
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.97%E -0.927%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.54%E -3.32%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 00:39
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.97%E -0.927%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.54%E -3.32%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 00:39
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.97%E -0.927%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 00:39
Dabble (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.97%E -0.927%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 00:39
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.97%E -0.927%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 00:40
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.97%E -0.927%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 00:39
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 00:39
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 00:40
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 00:40
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 00:40
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 00:40
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 00:40
ReBet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -5.39%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -3.15%E -2.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 00:29
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.00%E -1.93%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.45%E -1.75%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 00:39
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.00%E -1.93%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.45%E -1.75%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 00:39
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -6.00%E -1.93%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.15%E -2.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 00:29
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.00%E -1.93%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 00:39
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.00%E -1.93%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 00:39
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.00%E -1.93%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 00:40
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.00%E -1.93%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 00:40
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.93%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 00:39
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.00%E -1.93%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 00:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.00%E -1.93%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 00:39
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.00%E -1.93%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 00:30
SportsBet3.09I 32.36%NM 31.18%EV -6.30%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.82%EV -2.45%E -1.75%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 00:40
MyBookie.ag3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -7.21%E -2.36%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 00:33
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -7.51%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.45%E -1.75%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 00:40
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.51%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.51%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 00:39
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.51%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 00:32
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.51%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 00:39
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.51%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 00:39
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.51%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.51%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 00:39
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.45%E -1.75%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 00:39
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.15%E -2.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 00:39
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 00:30
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 00:39
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 00:40
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.03%E -6.08%K -25.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 00:38
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.55%E -3.57%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.45%E -1.75%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 00:39
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.55%E -3.57%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.45%E -1.75%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 00:39
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -10.55%E -3.57%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -8.03%E -6.08%K -25.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 00:40
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -12.67%E -4.40%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.45%E -1.75%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 00:39
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -12.67%E -4.40%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.45%E -1.75%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -12.67%E -4.40%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.45%E -1.75%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 00:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly3.48I 28.74%NM 28.69%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.31%0.2%2026-04-04 00:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-04-04 00:40
ProphetX3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-04 00:40
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-04-04 00:40
Polymarket3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-04-04 00:39
Novig3.42I 29.24%NM 28.90%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.10%1.2%2026-04-04 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98%1.4%2026-04-04 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98%1.4%2026-04-04 00:40
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%2.3%2026-04-04 00:40
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%2.7%2026-04-04 00:40