The School of Odds
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Dallas Mavericks v Oklahoma City Thunder

2026-10-29 01:40 UTC — NBA

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Mavericks (Local)

Prediction 34.65%2.89fair odd
EV +9.50%
Edge +3.01%
Kelly +4.40%
Growth +0.418%

assuming max odds 3.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.55%34.66%34.65%36.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.762.753.1641.67%36.25%36.36%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit)

Prediction 65.35%1.53fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -3.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.66%65.34%65.35%69.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.441.441.5073.53%69.55%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Dallas Mavericks (Local): 34.65%; Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit): 65.35%. For Dallas Mavericks (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.16, producing a positive expected value of +9.50%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.55%EV +9.50%E +3.01%K +4.40%G +0.418%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.45%EV -9.17%E -6.59%K -23.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-28 00:55
SportsBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV +0.144%E +0.050%K +0.076%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.90%E -4.10%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-28 00:05
FanDuel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -0.202%E -0.070%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.90%E -4.10%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-28 00:00
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.202%E -0.070%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.51%E -6.08%K -21.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-28 00:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.24%E -0.436%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.90%E -4.10%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-28 00:05
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.24%E -0.436%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.90%E -4.10%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-28 00:45
Caesars🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.24%E -0.436%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.90%E -4.10%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-28 00:44
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.24%E -0.436%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.55%E -4.58%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 00:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.24%E -0.436%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.55%E -4.58%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 00:44
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.24%E -0.436%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.55%E -4.58%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 00:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.24%E -0.436%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.55%E -4.58%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 00:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.24%E -0.436%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.55%E -4.58%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 00:44
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.24%E -0.436%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.55%E -4.58%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 00:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.24%E -0.436%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.55%E -4.58%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 00:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.24%E -0.436%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.55%E -4.58%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 00:44
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.24%E -0.436%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.55%E -4.58%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 00:44
Coolbet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -2.28%E -0.809%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.59%E -3.15%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-28 00:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.97%E -1.06%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.59%E -3.15%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-28 00:45
Fliff🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.97%E -1.06%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.55%E -4.58%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-28 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.97%E -1.06%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.21%E -5.07%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-28 00:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -2.97%E -1.06%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.86%E -5.57%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-28 00:44
GTbets🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.28%E -2.22%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-28 00:55
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.94%E -2.68%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-28 00:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.25%E -3.62%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-28 00:04
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.25%E -3.62%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-28 00:50
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.90%E -4.10%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-28 00:05
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.90%E -4.10%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-28 00:05
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.90%E -4.10%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-28 00:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.90%E -4.10%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-28 00:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.90%E -4.10%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-28 00:05
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.44%E -2.39%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.98%E -1.32%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-28 00:40
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.44%E -2.39%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.63%E -1.77%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-28 00:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.44%E -2.39%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.28%E -2.22%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-28 00:05
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.44%E -2.39%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.28%E -2.22%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-28 00:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.44%E -2.39%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.59%E -3.15%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-28 00:20
ReBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.44%E -2.39%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.25%E -3.62%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-28 00:05
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.44%E -2.39%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.90%E -4.10%K -13.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-28 00:50
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.44%E -2.39%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.90%E -4.10%K -13.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-28 00:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.50%EV -6.44%E -2.39%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -11.13%E -8.18%K -30.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-28 00:44
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.17%E -3.08%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.28%E -2.22%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-28 00:35
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.21%E -3.52%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.90%E -4.10%K -13.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-28 00:05
picklebet_au🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.90%E -3.81%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.90%E -4.10%K -13.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-28 00:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -11.64%E -4.56%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -7.86%E -5.57%K -19.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-28 00:05
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -13.37%E -5.35%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.78%EV -7.21%E -5.07%K -17.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-28 00:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -13.37%E -5.35%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 64.27%EV -9.17%E -6.59%K -23.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-28 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.34%EV -16.84%E -7.01%K -12.03%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 63.66%EV -10.47%E -7.64%K -28.31%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-28 00:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-10-28 00:55
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-10-28 00:55
Novig◎2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%2.1%2026-10-28 00:55
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 35.70%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.30%10.3%2026-10-28 00:05
Arbitrage (7 combinations) +1.72%1xBet 3.16 (32.2%) / theScore Bet 1.50 (67.8%)Show all 7 combinations
Dallas Mavericks (Local)Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit)Margin
1xBet🎯 3.16 (32.2%)theScore Bet🎯 1.50 (67.8%)+1.72%
1xBet🎯 3.16 (32.0%)DraftKings🎯 1.49 (68.0%)+1.26%
1xBet🎯 3.16 (31.9%)GTbets🎯 1.48 (68.1%)+0.793%
1xBet🎯 3.16 (31.9%)Dabble (AU)🎯 1.48 (68.1%)+0.793%
1xBet🎯 3.16 (31.9%)TAB🎯 1.48 (68.1%)+0.793%
1xBet🎯 3.16 (31.9%)Bet Right🎯 1.48 (68.1%)+0.793%
1xBet🎯 3.16 (31.7%)Fanatics🎯 1.47 (68.3%)+0.328%