Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Dallas Mavericks v Oklahoma City Thunder

2026-10-29 01:40 UTC — NBA

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Dallas Mavericks (Local)

Predicción 34.37%2.91momio equitativo
EV +8.61%
Ventaja +2.73%
Kelly +3.99%
Crecimiento +0.343%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.55%34.45%34.37%36.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.772.773.1641.67%36.12%36.04%31.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visitante)

Predicción 65.63%1.52momio equitativo
EV -2.21%
Ventaja -1.49%
Kelly -4.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.66%65.55%65.63%69.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.361.441.441.4973.53%69.62%69.44%67.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Dallas Mavericks (Local): 34.37%; Oklahoma City Thunder (Visitante): 65.63%. Para Dallas Mavericks (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.91. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.16, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +8.61%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.55%EV +8.61%E +2.73%K +3.99%G +0.343%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.45%EV -8.78%E -6.31%K -22.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-28 00:55
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -0.324%E -0.112%K -0.171%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -5.49%E -3.82%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-28 01:20
SportsBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -0.668%E -0.231%K -0.353%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.49%E -3.82%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-28 00:05
FanDuel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.01%E -0.351%K -0.538%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.49%E -3.82%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-28 00:00
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.01%E -0.351%K -0.538%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.12%E -5.80%K -20.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-28 00:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.49%E -3.82%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-28 00:05
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.49%E -3.82%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-28 00:45
Caesars🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.49%E -3.82%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-28 00:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.49%E -3.82%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-28 01:15
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 00:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 00:44
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 00:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 00:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 00:44
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 00:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 00:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 00:44
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 00:44
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.81%E -4.79%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-28 00:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.04%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.81%E -4.79%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-28 01:00
Coolbet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.07%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.18%E -2.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-28 00:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.18%E -2.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-28 00:45
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-28 00:59
Fliff🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-28 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.81%E -4.79%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-28 00:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.46%E -5.29%K -18.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-28 00:44
GTbets🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.87%E -1.94%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-28 00:55
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-28 00:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-28 00:04
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-28 00:50
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.82%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-28 00:05
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.82%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-28 00:05
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.82%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-28 00:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.82%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-28 00:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.82%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-28 00:05
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.82%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-28 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.82%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-28 01:00
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.21%E -1.49%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-28 00:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.87%E -1.94%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-28 00:05
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.87%E -1.94%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-28 00:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.18%E -2.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-28 00:20
ReBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-28 00:05
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.49%E -3.82%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-28 00:50
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.49%E -3.82%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-28 00:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.50%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -10.74%E -7.90%K -29.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-28 00:44
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.92%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.87%E -1.94%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-28 00:35
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.95%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.49%E -3.82%K -12.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-28 00:05
picklebet_au🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.49%E -3.82%K -12.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-28 00:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -12.35%E -4.84%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -7.46%E -5.29%K -18.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-28 00:05
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -14.07%E -5.63%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.78%EV -6.81%E -4.79%K -16.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-28 00:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -14.07%E -5.63%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 64.27%EV -8.78%E -6.31%K -22.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-28 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.34%EV -17.51%E -7.30%K -12.51%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 63.66%EV -10.09%E -7.36%K -27.27%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-28 00:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎3.08I 32.47%NM 32.31%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.69%0.5%2026-10-28 01:20
Polymarket◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%1.0%2026-10-28 01:10
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-10-28 00:55
ProphetX◎2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%3.5%2026-10-28 01:20
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 35.70%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.30%10.3%2026-10-28 00:05
Arbitraje (6 combinaciones) +1.26%1xBet 3.16 (32.0%) / DraftKings 1.49 (68.0%)Ver las 6 combinaciones
Dallas Mavericks (Local)Oklahoma City Thunder (Visitante)Margen
1xBet🎯 3.16 (32.0%)DraftKings🎯 1.49 (68.0%)+1.26%
1xBet🎯 3.16 (31.9%)GTbets🎯 1.48 (68.1%)+0.793%
1xBet🎯 3.16 (31.9%)Dabble (AU)🎯 1.48 (68.1%)+0.793%
1xBet🎯 3.16 (31.9%)TAB🎯 1.48 (68.1%)+0.793%
1xBet🎯 3.16 (31.9%)Bet Right🎯 1.48 (68.1%)+0.793%
1xBet🎯 3.16 (31.7%)Fanatics🎯 1.47 (68.3%)+0.328%