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Dallas Mavericks v Memphis Grizzlies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dallas Mavericks (Local)
Prediction 63.43%1.58fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -4.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.71%63.35%63.44%64.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.511.511.5468.97%66.33%66.23%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Memphis Grizzlies (Visit)
Prediction 36.57%2.73fair odd
EV +0.570%
Edge +0.207%
Kelly +0.326%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.10%36.65%36.56%39.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.602.602.7542.02%38.51%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Mavericks (Local): 63.43%; Memphis Grizzlies (Visit): 36.57%. For Memphis Grizzlies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.570%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.22%E -2.80%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +0.570%E +0.207%K +0.326%G +0.002% | 2.6% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.68%EV -6.12%E -4.14%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.32%EV -0.893%E -0.329%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 01:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.26%E -0.466%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.39%E -5.06%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -1.26%E -0.466%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.95%E -1.93%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.22%E -2.80%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.22%E -2.80%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.22%E -2.80%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 01:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.22%E -2.80%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.22%E -2.80%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.22%E -2.80%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 01:38 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.22%E -2.80%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.45%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 01:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.82%E -1.45%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.82%E -1.45%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.82%E -1.45%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.82%E -1.45%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.32%E -1.51%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -4.18%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -4.18%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.22%E -2.80%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.18%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.32%E -1.51%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.32%E -1.51%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.95%E -1.93%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 01:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.95%E -1.93%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 01:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 01:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 01:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.49%E -3.68%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.49%E -3.68%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.49%E -3.68%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.49%E -3.68%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.22%E -2.80%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.65%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -6.01%E -2.34%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 01:31 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.95%E -1.93%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 01:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.95%E -1.93%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 01:31 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.95%E -1.93%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 01:37 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -2.95%E -1.93%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -7.48%E -2.95%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 01:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.95%E -1.93%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.95%E -1.93%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 01:31 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.95%E -1.93%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -5.49%E -3.68%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -12.23%E -5.10%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -2.32%E -1.51%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -12.96%E -5.45%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 01:36 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16% | 0.1% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 0.6% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 0.6% | 2026-02-28 01:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.91% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 35.09% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 01:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 01:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20% | 2.2% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32% | 2.3% | 2026-02-28 01:29 |