La escuela de los momios

Dallas Mavericks v Memphis Grizzlies

Inicio: 2026-02-28 01:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dallas Mavericks (Local)

Predicción 63.43%1.58momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -4.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.71%63.35%63.44%64.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.511.511.5468.97%66.33%66.23%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Memphis Grizzlies (Visitante)

Predicción 36.57%2.73momio equitativo
EV +0.570%
Ventaja +0.207%
Kelly +0.326%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.10%36.65%36.56%39.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.602.602.7542.02%38.51%38.46%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -4.22%E -2.80%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV +0.570%E +0.207%K +0.326%G +0.002%2.6%2026-02-28 01:39
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.68%EV -6.12%E -4.14%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.32%EV -0.893%E -0.329%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 01:29
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.26%E -0.466%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 01:39
Dabble (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.39%E -5.06%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -1.26%E -0.466%K -0.740%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 01:39
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.95%E -1.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 01:39
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 01:39
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 01:39
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.22%E -2.80%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 01:39
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.22%E -2.80%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 01:39
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.22%E -2.80%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 01:34
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.22%E -2.80%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 01:39
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.22%E -2.80%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 01:39
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.22%E -2.80%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 01:39
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 01:38
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 01:39
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 01:39
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.22%E -2.80%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.45%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 01:40
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.82%E -1.45%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 01:39
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.82%E -1.45%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 01:39
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.82%E -1.45%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 01:39
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.82%E -1.45%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 01:39
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.32%E -1.51%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -4.18%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 01:39
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -4.18%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 01:39
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.22%E -2.80%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.18%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 01:39
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.32%E -1.51%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 01:39
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 01:39
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.32%E -1.51%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 01:39
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.95%E -1.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 01:40
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.95%E -1.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 01:39
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 01:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 01:39
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 01:39
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 01:39
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 01:29
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 01:39
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 01:39
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 01:29
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 01:29
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 01:39
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.49%E -3.68%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 01:39
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.49%E -3.68%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 01:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.49%E -3.68%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 01:39
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.49%E -3.68%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 01:39
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 01:39
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.22%E -2.80%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.65%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 01:39
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -6.01%E -2.34%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 01:31
Parions Sport (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.95%E -1.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 01:30
Codere (IT)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.95%E -1.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 01:31
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.95%E -1.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 01:39
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 01:39
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 01:39
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 01:39
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 01:37
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 01:39
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 01:39
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -2.95%E -1.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -7.48%E -2.95%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 01:30
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.95%E -1.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 01:39
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.95%E -1.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 01:31
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.95%E -1.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 01:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 01:39
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 01:39
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -5.49%E -3.68%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -12.23%E -5.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 01:39
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -2.32%E -1.51%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -12.96%E -5.45%K -9.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 01:36
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%0.1%2026-02-28 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-02-28 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-02-28 01:40
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 64.91%2.83I 35.34%NM 35.09%0.7%2026-02-28 01:40
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-02-28 01:39
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-02-28 01:39
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-02-28 01:40
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-02-28 01:39
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%2.2%2026-02-28 01:39
BetOpenly1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-02-28 01:29