Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Mavericks v Los Angeles Lakers

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 23:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Mavericks (Local)

Prediction 47.53%2.10fair odd
EV -0.178%
Edge -0.085%
Kelly -0.162%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.67%47.55%47.44%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.002.002.1053.19%50.08%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Lakers (Visit)

Prediction 52.47%1.91fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.726%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.45%52.56%53.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.821.831.8858.14%55.00%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Mavericks (Local): 47.53%; Los Angeles Lakers (Visit): 52.47%. For Dallas Mavericks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.104. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.100, with an expected value of -0.178%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -0.178%E -0.085%K -0.162%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -3.46%E -1.88%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-05 17:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.91%EV -2.08%E -1.01%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.09%EV -4.51%E -2.48%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 23:20
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.55%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -2.94%E -1.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 23:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.55%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 23:19
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.55%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 23:35
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.55%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 23:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.55%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 17:19
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.55%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 23:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.03%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 23:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.03%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.04%E -2.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 23:20
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.51%E -1.73%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.36%E -0.726%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-05 23:20
ReBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -3.51%E -1.73%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 16:49
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -3.51%E -1.73%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -4.51%E -2.48%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 23:30
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.98%E -1.97%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 23:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.98%E -1.97%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 23:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.46%E -2.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.04%E -2.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 17:34
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.94%E -1.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 23:30
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.94%E -1.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 23:30
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.94%E -1.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 17:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.94%E -1.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.94%E -1.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.94%E -1.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 23:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.94%E -1.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 23:25
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.94%E -1.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 22:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.94%E -1.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.46%E -1.88%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 23:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 15:54
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 23:30
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 17:19
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 23:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 17:15
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 17:19
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 23:25
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 23:30
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 23:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.51%E -2.48%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 15:29
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 23:30
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 23:30
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 23:30
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 03:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 23:30
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 03:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 03:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 03:35
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 23:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.18%E -4.68%K -10.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 23:30
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.18%E -4.68%K -10.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 23:30
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.88%E -2.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.46%E -1.88%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 23:25
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.88%E -2.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.51%E -2.48%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 23:30
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.88%E -2.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.51%E -2.48%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 23:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.36%E -3.23%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.36%E -3.23%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 23:25
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.36%E -3.23%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 23:25
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.36%E -3.23%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 23:25
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.36%E -3.23%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 23:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.36%E -3.23%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 23:30
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.83%E -3.49%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 23:25
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.31%E -3.75%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.89%E -1.01%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 17:20
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.31%E -3.75%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.94%E -1.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 23:00
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.31%E -3.75%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.31%E -3.75%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.51%E -2.48%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.31%E -3.75%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.61%E -3.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 23:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -8.26%E -4.28%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -6.09%E -3.40%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 23:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.41%EV -8.26%E -4.28%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.59%EV -8.71%E -5.01%K -11.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 23:33
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -9.69%E -5.10%K -10.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -9.76%E -5.67%K -13.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 23:35
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -10.64%E -5.66%K -12.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.79%EV -8.18%E -4.68%K -10.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 23:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87%0.1%2026-04-05 23:29
ProphetX2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-04-05 23:35
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-04-05 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-04-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-04-05 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-04-05 23:35
Novig2.07I 48.31%NM 47.86%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.14%0.9%2026-04-05 23:35
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-05 21:00
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-05 23:00
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-04-05 23:35