La escuela de los momios

Dallas Mavericks v Los Angeles Lakers

Inicio: 2026-04-05 23:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dallas Mavericks (Local)

Predicción 47.53%2.10momio equitativo
EV -0.178%
Ventaja -0.085%
Kelly -0.162%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.67%47.55%47.44%48.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.882.002.002.1053.19%50.08%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Lakers (Visitante)

Predicción 52.47%1.91momio equitativo
EV -1.36%
Ventaja -0.726%
Kelly -1.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.05%52.45%52.56%53.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.821.831.8858.14%55.00%54.64%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -0.178%E -0.085%K -0.162%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -3.46%E -1.88%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-05 17:24
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.91%EV -2.08%E -1.01%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.09%EV -4.51%E -2.48%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 23:20
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.55%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -2.94%E -1.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 23:34
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.55%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 23:19
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.55%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 23:35
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.55%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 23:30
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.55%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 17:19
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.55%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 23:20
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.03%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 23:35
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.03%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.04%E -2.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 23:20
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.51%E -1.73%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.36%E -0.726%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-05 23:20
ReBet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -3.51%E -1.73%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 16:49
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -3.51%E -1.73%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -4.51%E -2.48%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 23:30
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.98%E -1.97%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 23:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.98%E -1.97%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 23:20
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.46%E -2.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.04%E -2.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 17:34
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.94%E -1.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 23:30
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.94%E -1.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 23:30
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.94%E -1.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 17:19
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.94%E -1.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 23:25
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.94%E -1.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 23:25
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.94%E -1.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 23:25
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.94%E -1.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 23:25
Dabble (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.94%E -1.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 22:45
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.94%E -1.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 17:20
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.46%E -1.88%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 23:35
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 15:54
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 23:30
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 17:19
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 23:25
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 17:15
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 17:19
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 23:25
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 23:30
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 23:04
MyBookie.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.51%E -2.48%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 15:29
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 23:30
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 23:30
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 23:30
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 03:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 23:30
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 03:34
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 03:35
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 03:35
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 23:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.18%E -4.68%K -10.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 23:30
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.93%E -2.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.18%E -4.68%K -10.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 23:30
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.88%E -2.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.46%E -1.88%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 23:25
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.88%E -2.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.51%E -2.48%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 23:30
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.88%E -2.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.51%E -2.48%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 23:30
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.36%E -3.23%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 23:25
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.36%E -3.23%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 23:25
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.36%E -3.23%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 23:25
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.36%E -3.23%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 23:25
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.36%E -3.23%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 23:25
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.36%E -3.23%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.56%E -3.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 23:30
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.83%E -3.49%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 23:25
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.31%E -3.75%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.89%E -1.01%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 17:20
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.31%E -3.75%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.94%E -1.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 23:00
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.31%E -3.75%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.99%E -2.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.31%E -3.75%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.51%E -2.48%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:25
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.31%E -3.75%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.61%E -3.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 23:30
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -8.26%E -4.28%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -6.09%E -3.40%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 23:25
Betclic (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.41%EV -8.26%E -4.28%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.59%EV -8.71%E -5.01%K -11.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 23:33
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -9.69%E -5.10%K -10.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -9.76%E -5.67%K -13.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 23:35
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -10.64%E -5.66%K -12.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.79%EV -8.18%E -4.68%K -10.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 23:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87%0.1%2026-04-05 23:29
ProphetX2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-04-05 23:35
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-04-05 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-04-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-04-05 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-04-05 23:35
Novig2.07I 48.31%NM 47.86%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.14%0.9%2026-04-05 23:35
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-05 21:00
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-05 23:00
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-04-05 23:35