Language:English
Dallas Mavericks v Atlanta Hawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dallas Mavericks (Local)
Prediction 27.12%3.69fair odd
EV +8.47%
Edge +2.12%
Kelly +2.82%
Growth +0.239%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%27.12%27.16%28.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.533.504.0032.26%28.36%28.57%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlanta Hawks (Visit)
Prediction 72.88%1.37fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -6.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.11%72.88%72.84%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.301.301.3480.65%76.77%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Mavericks (Local): 27.12%; Atlanta Hawks (Visit): 72.88%. For Dallas Mavericks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.47%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +8.47%E +2.12%K +2.82%G +0.239% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -8.90%E -7.12%K -35.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.73%EV +3.32%E +0.872%K +1.18%G +0.039% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.27%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-19 00:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.69%E +0.452%K +0.616%G +0.010% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.98%E -4.64%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.99%EV +1.15%E +0.309%K +0.422%G +0.005% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.01%EV -4.53%E -3.45%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-19 00:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.75%EV +0.881%E +0.237%K +0.324%G +0.003% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.25%EV -5.98%E -4.64%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-18 12:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV +0.339%E +0.092%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-18 23:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.339%E +0.092%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 00:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +0.339%E +0.092%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.98%E -4.64%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.02%E -0.279%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.02%E -0.279%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-18 23:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.53%E -3.45%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 00:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.53%E -3.45%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 23:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.53%E -3.45%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 11:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.53%E -3.45%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 00:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.71%E -5.24%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.71%E -5.24%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-18 07:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.07%E -2.31%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 00:37 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 00:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 00:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.98%E -4.64%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -8.17%E -6.48%K -31.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 00:13 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.53%E -3.45%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 00:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.53%E -3.45%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.53%E -3.45%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 00:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-18 09:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-18 09:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.71%E -5.24%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-18 11:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.71%E -5.24%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-18 11:23 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.80%EV -5.63%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.20%EV -2.34%E -1.75%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.07%E -2.31%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.71%E -5.24%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.98%E -4.64%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.98%E -4.64%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.51%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.44%E -5.86%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 00:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -15.93%E -5.14%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.43%EV -9.63%E -7.76%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.82I 26.18%NM 26.11% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.89% | 0.3% | 2026-03-19 00:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-03-19 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-03-19 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-03-19 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-03-18 18:35 |
| Novig◎ | 3.73I 26.81%NM 26.43% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.57% | 1.4% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 1.7% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22% | 2.1% | 2026-03-19 00:40 |