La escuela de los momios

Dallas Mavericks v Atlanta Hawks

Inicio: 2026-03-19 00:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dallas Mavericks (Local)

Predicción 27.12%3.69momio equitativo
EV +8.47%
Ventaja +2.12%
Kelly +2.82%
Crecimiento +0.239%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.81%27.12%27.16%28.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.533.504.0032.26%28.36%28.57%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlanta Hawks (Visitante)

Predicción 72.88%1.37momio equitativo
EV -2.34%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -6.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.11%72.88%72.84%76.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.301.301.3480.65%76.77%76.92%74.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +8.47%E +2.12%K +2.82%G +0.239%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -8.90%E -7.12%K -35.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 00:40
1xBet3.81I 26.25%NM 25.73%EV +3.32%E +0.872%K +1.18%G +0.039%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.27%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-19 00:20
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.69%E +0.452%K +0.616%G +0.010%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.98%E -4.64%K -20.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 00:20
Pinnacle3.73I 26.81%NM 25.99%EV +1.15%E +0.309%K +0.422%G +0.005%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.01%EV -4.53%E -3.45%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 00:30
Marathon Bet3.72I 26.88%NM 25.75%EV +0.881%E +0.237%K +0.324%G +0.003%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.25%EV -5.98%E -4.64%K -20.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 12:54
Bet Victor3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV +0.339%E +0.092%K +0.125%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-18 23:59
Everygame3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.339%E +0.092%K +0.125%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 00:19
Fliff3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +0.339%E +0.092%K +0.125%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.98%E -4.64%K -20.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 00:40
GTbets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.02%E -0.279%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 00:35
Betr (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.02%E -0.279%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 23:30
Parions Sport (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.53%E -3.45%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 00:15
ReBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.53%E -3.45%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 23:59
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.53%E -3.45%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 11:24
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.53%E -3.45%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 00:35
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 00:25
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 00:39
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.71%E -5.24%K -23.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 00:40
Dabble (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.71%E -5.24%K -23.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 07:39
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.07%E -2.31%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 00:40
SportsBet3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 00:35
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 00:40
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 00:40
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 00:40
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 00:40
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 00:37
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 00:40
Codere (IT)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 00:00
MyBookie.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 00:20
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.98%E -4.64%K -20.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 00:40
NetBet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -8.17%E -6.48%K -31.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 00:13
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 00:35
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 00:40
TAB3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 18:50
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.53%E -3.45%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 00:10
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.53%E -3.45%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 00:35
BetAnything3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.53%E -3.45%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 00:30
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 00:00
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 09:55
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 09:54
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 00:40
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 00:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.71%E -5.24%K -23.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 11:25
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.71%E -5.24%K -23.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-18 11:23
LowVig.ag3.48I 28.74%NM 27.80%EV -5.63%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.20%EV -2.34%E -1.75%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 00:40
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.07%E -2.31%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 00:40
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 00:40
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 00:40
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 00:40
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 00:40
Bally Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 00:40
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 00:40
Unibet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.71%E -5.24%K -23.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 00:25
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:35
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:40
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:35
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:40
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.98%E -4.64%K -20.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 00:35
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.98%E -4.64%K -20.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 00:40
Betclic (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.51%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.44%E -5.86%K -27.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 00:39
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.25%E -4.04%K -17.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 00:40
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -15.93%E -5.14%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.43%EV -9.63%E -7.76%K -40.11%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-19 00:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly3.82I 26.18%NM 26.11%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.89%0.3%2026-03-19 00:29
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-03-19 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-03-19 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-03-19 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%0.9%2026-03-19 00:40
Polymarket3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-03-19 00:40
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-03-18 18:35
Novig3.73I 26.81%NM 26.43%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.57%1.4%2026-03-19 00:40
ProphetX3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%1.7%2026-03-19 00:40
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22%2.1%2026-03-19 00:40