Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.34
assuming max odds 3.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Cavaliers (Local): 73.24%; Toronto Raptors (Visit): 26.76%. For Toronto Raptors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.359%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.06%E -3.10%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +0.359%E +0.096%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.979%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.979%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.979%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.979%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.979%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.52%E -4.28%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.979%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.52%E -4.28%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.979%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.979%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 23:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.99%E -5.50%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -0.979%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV -2.32%E -0.635%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.33%E -2.52%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -2.32%E -0.635%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.32%E -0.635%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.32%E -0.635%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.32%E -0.635%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 23:38 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.32%E -0.635%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -5.52%E -4.28%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -2.58%E -0.710%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.33%EV -3.33%E -2.52%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.67%EV -2.85%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.33%E -2.52%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-03 23:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.33%E -2.52%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.06%E -3.10%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.06%E -3.10%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.06%E -3.10%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.06%E -3.10%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 23:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.52%E -4.28%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.52%E -4.28%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.52%E -4.28%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.99%E -5.50%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.06%E -3.10%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 23:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.99%E -5.50%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 23:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.33%E -2.52%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.06%E -3.10%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.06%E -3.10%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-03 23:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-03 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-03 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -7.72%E -6.13%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.56%EV -9.19%E -7.41%K -38.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -1.86%E -1.39%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -1.86%E -1.39%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 23:38 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.81% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 25.19% | -0.2% | 2026-05-03 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.5% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 23:40 |