L’École des cotes

Cleveland Cavaliers v Toronto Raptors

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 23:43 UTC

Score final : Cleveland Cavaliers 114–102 Toronto Raptors

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Prévision 73.24%1.37cote équitable
EV -1.86%
Avantage -1.39%
Kelly -5.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.81%73.17%73.29%74.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.241.301.301.3480.65%76.91%76.92%74.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Toronto Raptors (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.76%3.74cote équitable
EV +0.359%
Avantage +0.096%
Kelly +0.131%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.55%26.83%26.71%29.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.563.603.7530.77%28.10%27.78%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.06%E -3.10%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +0.359%E +0.096%K +0.131%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.979%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.979%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 23:40
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.979%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 23:40
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.979%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 23:40
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.979%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 23:40
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.52%E -4.28%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.979%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 23:40
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.52%E -4.28%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.979%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 23:40
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.979%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 23:29
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.99%E -5.50%K -25.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -0.979%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 23:40
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV -2.32%E -0.635%K -0.874%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-03 23:40
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.33%E -2.52%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -2.32%E -0.635%K -0.874%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 23:40
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.32%E -0.635%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 23:40
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.32%E -0.635%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 23:40
Bovada1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.32%E -0.635%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 23:38
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.32%E -0.635%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 23:40
MyBookie.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -5.52%E -4.28%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -2.58%E -0.710%K -0.979%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 23:30
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 73.33%EV -3.33%E -2.52%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.67%EV -2.85%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 23:40
Bet Victor1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.33%E -2.52%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 23:39
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.33%E -2.52%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.06%E -3.10%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 23:40
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.06%E -3.10%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 23:40
BetUS1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.06%E -3.10%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 23:40
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.06%E -3.10%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 23:40
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 23:40
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 23:40
Fanatics1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 23:39
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 23:40
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 23:40
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.52%E -4.28%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 23:40
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.52%E -4.28%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 23:40
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.52%E -4.28%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 23:40
Dabble (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 23:40
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.99%E -5.50%K -25.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:29
BetAnything1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.06%E -3.10%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 23:40
ReBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 23:40
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.99%E -5.50%K -25.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 23:30
Coolbet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.33%E -2.52%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 23:40
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.06%E -3.10%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 23:40
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.06%E -3.10%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 23:40
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 23:29
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 23:40
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 23:40
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 23:40
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -7.72%E -6.13%K -29.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 23:40
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 73.56%EV -9.19%E -7.41%K -38.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 23:40
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 23:40
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 23:40
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 23:40
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 23:40
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.79%E -3.69%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 23:40
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 23:40
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -1.86%E -1.39%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 23:40
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -1.86%E -1.39%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -6.26%E -4.89%K -22.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 23:38
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.34I 74.63%NM 74.81%3.98I 25.13%NM 25.19%-0.2%2026-05-03 23:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-05-03 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-05-03 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-05-03 23:40
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-05-03 23:40
Polymarket1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-05-03 23:40
ProphetX1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-05-03 23:40
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-05-03 23:40
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%2.3%2026-05-03 23:40