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Cleveland Cavaliers v Philadelphia 76ers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)
Prediction 85.68%1.17fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -2.82%
Kelly -24.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.58%85.62%85.75%87.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.111.111.1392.59%89.96%90.09%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia 76ers (Visit)
Prediction 14.32%6.98fair odd
EV +10.99%
Edge +1.42%
Kelly +1.63%
Growth +0.179%
assuming max odds 7.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.33%14.38%14.25%16.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.606.676.727.7517.86%14.99%14.88%12.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Cavaliers (Local): 85.68%; Philadelphia 76ers (Visit): 14.32%. For Philadelphia 76ers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.98. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.99%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -6.61%E -6.06%K -73.45%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV +10.99%E +1.42%K +1.63%G +0.179% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.75%E -5.23%K -57.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +7.41%E +0.988%K +1.14%G +0.085% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 23:07 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.61%E -6.06%K -73.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.41%E +0.988%K +1.14%G +0.085% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.61%E -6.06%K -73.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.41%E +0.988%K +1.14%G +0.085% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -5.75%E -5.23%K -57.54%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +5.98%E +0.808%K +0.934%G +0.056% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 23:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.51%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 7.18I 13.93%NM 13.49%EV +2.83%E +0.394%K +0.458%G +0.013% | 3.2% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV +1.68%E +0.237%K +0.276%G +0.005% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +0.251%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-09 23:08 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +0.251%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-09 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +0.251%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-09 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +0.251%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-09 23:08 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +0.251%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.251%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.251%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.251%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.251%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 23:07 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.75%E -5.23%K -57.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.251%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.75%E -5.23%K -57.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.251%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.03%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV -1.18%E -0.171%K -0.200%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.02%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 6.83I 14.64%NM 13.98%EV -2.18%E -0.320%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -3.33%E -0.493%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-09 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -3.33%E -0.493%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-09 22:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -3.33%E -0.493%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -3.33%E -0.493%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-09 23:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -3.33%E -0.493%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -3.33%E -0.493%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.33%E -0.493%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.33%E -0.493%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.33%E -0.493%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.33%E -0.493%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV -3.47%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -4.05%E -0.604%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 22:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -4.05%E -0.604%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 22:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.18%E -2.82%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 23:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.75%E -5.23%K -57.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.75%E -5.23%K -57.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.75%E -5.23%K -57.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.75%E -5.23%K -57.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 23:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.47%E -6.91%K -93.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -8.34%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.61%E -6.06%K -73.45%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -8.34%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.49%E -1.68%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.49%E -1.68%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -10.49%E -1.68%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -10.49%E -1.68%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -3.18%E -2.82%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -11.21%E -1.81%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.83%EV -5.75%E -5.23%K -57.54%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -11.92%E -1.94%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 23:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.18%E -2.82%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -14.07%E -2.35%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 23:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.07%E -2.35%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.07%E -2.35%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 22:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.07%E -2.35%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.07%E -2.35%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -5.75%E -5.23%K -57.54%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -19.80%E -3.54%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-09 23:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.99% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 13.01% | -0.0% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.92% | 7.64I 13.09%NM 13.08% | 0.0% | 2026-03-09 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-03-09 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-03-09 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.76% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 12.24% | 0.8% | 2026-03-09 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 1.2% | 2026-03-09 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.10% | 7.63I 13.11%NM 12.90% | 1.6% | 2026-03-09 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92% | 2.3% | 2026-03-09 23:09 |