La escuela de los momios

Cleveland Cavaliers v Philadelphia 76ers

Inicio: 2026-03-09 23:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Predicción 85.68%1.17momio equitativo
EV -3.18%
Ventaja -2.82%
Kelly -24.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
83.58%85.62%85.75%87.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.081.111.111.1392.59%89.96%90.09%88.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia 76ers (Visitante)

Predicción 14.32%6.98momio equitativo
EV +10.99%
Ventaja +1.42%
Kelly +1.63%
Crecimiento +0.179%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.33%14.38%14.25%16.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.606.676.727.7517.86%14.99%14.88%12.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
PlayUp1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -6.61%E -6.06%K -73.45%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV +10.99%E +1.42%K +1.63%G +0.179%4.6%2026-03-09 23:10
Caesars1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.75%E -5.23%K -57.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +7.41%E +0.988%K +1.14%G +0.085%4.2%2026-03-09 23:07
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.61%E -6.06%K -73.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.41%E +0.988%K +1.14%G +0.085%5.1%2026-03-09 23:10
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.61%E -6.06%K -73.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.41%E +0.988%K +1.14%G +0.085%5.1%2026-03-09 23:09
Fliff1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -5.75%E -5.23%K -57.54%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +5.98%E +0.808%K +0.934%G +0.056%4.4%2026-03-09 23:10
Pinnacle1.12I 89.29%NM 86.51%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000%7.18I 13.93%NM 13.49%EV +2.83%E +0.394%K +0.458%G +0.013%3.2%2026-03-09 23:09
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV +1.68%E +0.237%K +0.276%G +0.005%4.2%2026-03-09 23:09
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +0.251%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-09 23:08
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +0.251%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-09 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +0.251%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-09 23:10
ATG (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +0.251%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-09 23:08
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +0.251%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-09 23:09
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.251%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.251%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 23:09
Fanatics1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.251%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 23:10
Bovada1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.251%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 23:07
Dabble (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.75%E -5.23%K -57.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.251%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 23:09
theScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.75%E -5.23%K -57.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.251%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 23:09
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 86.03%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV -1.18%E -0.171%K -0.200%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 23:09
MyBookie.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 86.02%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000%6.83I 14.64%NM 13.98%EV -2.18%E -0.320%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 22:59
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -3.33%E -0.493%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 23:10
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -3.33%E -0.493%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 22:59
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -3.33%E -0.493%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 23:09
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -3.33%E -0.493%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 23:10
BetAnything1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -3.33%E -0.493%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 23:09
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -3.33%E -0.493%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 23:09
TABtouch1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.33%E -0.493%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 23:09
Unibet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.33%E -0.493%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 23:09
Bally Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.33%E -0.493%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 23:09
betPARX1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.33%E -0.493%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV -3.47%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 23:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -4.05%E -0.604%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 22:59
ReBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -4.05%E -0.604%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 22:59
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.18%E -2.82%K -24.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 23:09
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 23:09
Betr (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 23:10
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 23:09
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 23:10
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 23:09
BetRivers1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 23:10
Virgin Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 23:09
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.75%E -5.23%K -57.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.75%E -5.23%K -57.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 23:09
Tipico (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.75%E -5.23%K -57.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.75%E -5.23%K -57.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 23:10
NetBet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.47%E -6.91%K -93.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -6.91%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 23:00
Codere (IT)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -8.34%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 23:00
LeoVegas1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.61%E -6.06%K -73.45%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -8.34%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 23:09
Bet Right1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.49%E -1.68%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 23:09
Coolbet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.49%E -1.68%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -10.49%E -1.68%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 23:09
Hard Rock Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -10.49%E -1.68%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 23:09
Marathon Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -3.18%E -2.82%K -24.49%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -11.21%E -1.81%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 22:59
Unibet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.83%EV -5.75%E -5.23%K -57.54%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -11.92%E -1.94%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 23:04
Sky Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.18%E -2.82%K -24.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -14.07%E -2.35%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 23:10
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.04%E -3.61%K -33.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.07%E -2.35%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 23:09
BoyleSports1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.07%E -2.35%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 22:59
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.07%E -2.35%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.90%E -4.41%K -44.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.07%E -2.35%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 23:09
Betclic (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -5.75%E -5.23%K -57.54%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -19.80%E -3.54%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-09 23:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.15I 86.96%NM 86.99%7.69I 13.00%NM 13.01%-0.0%2026-03-09 23:09
BetOpenly1.15I 86.96%NM 86.92%7.64I 13.09%NM 13.08%0.0%2026-03-09 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-03-09 23:09
Matchbook1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-03-09 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-03-09 23:10
Polymarket1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-03-09 23:10
ProphetX1.13I 88.50%NM 87.76%8.10I 12.35%NM 12.24%0.8%2026-03-09 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.2%2026-03-09 23:10
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 87.10%7.63I 13.11%NM 12.90%1.6%2026-03-09 23:10
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92%2.3%2026-03-09 23:09