Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Cavaliers v Orlando Magic

Kickoff: 2026-03-25 00:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 78.87%1.27fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -13.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.63%78.90%78.87%81.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.211.211.2385.47%82.70%82.64%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orlando Magic (Visit)

Prediction 21.13%4.73fair odd
EV +5.66%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +1.41%
Growth +0.080%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.96%21.10%21.13%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.524.505.0025.00%22.11%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Cavaliers (Local): 78.87%; Orlando Magic (Visit): 21.13%. For Orlando Magic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.73. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PlayUp🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.94%E -5.88%K -38.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +5.66%E +1.13%K +1.41%G +0.080%4.7%2026-03-25 00:05
Betsson🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.72%E -6.60%K -45.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.66%E +1.13%K +1.41%G +0.080%5.5%2026-03-25 00:04
NordicBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.72%E -6.60%K -45.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.66%E +1.13%K +1.41%G +0.080%5.5%2026-03-25 00:04
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%EV -2.99%E -2.43%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%EV +1.43%E +0.299%K +0.377%G +0.005%2.1%2026-03-24 23:19
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -0.680%E -0.145%K -0.184%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-24 23:53
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -0.680%E -0.145%K -0.184%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-25 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -0.680%E -0.145%K -0.184%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-24 23:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -0.680%E -0.145%K -0.184%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-24 23:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -0.680%E -0.145%K -0.184%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-24 23:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -0.680%E -0.145%K -0.184%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-24 23:50
Fliff🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -1.74%E -0.373%K -0.476%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 23:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -2.79%E -0.607%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-25 00:05
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -2.79%E -0.607%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-24 23:45
Caesars🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.79%E -0.607%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 20:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.79%E -0.607%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 23:14
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.79%E -0.607%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 23:34
Unibet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.79%E -0.607%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 23:54
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.79%E -0.607%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 23:54
Bally Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.79%E -0.607%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 23:55
betPARX🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.79%E -0.607%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 23:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.94%E -5.88%K -38.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.79%E -0.607%K -0.776%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-24 17:34
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.87%EV -2.99%E -2.43%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.13%EV -3.00%E -0.655%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-24 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -2.99%E -2.43%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV -3.64%E -0.798%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-24 18:19
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -3.85%E -0.846%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-24 23:49
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -3.85%E -0.846%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-24 23:50
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -3.85%E -0.846%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-24 18:19
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 19:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 19:24
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 19:24
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 23:24
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 12:38
GTbets🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 19:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 18:19
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 22:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 03:59
Everygame🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 12:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-25 00:04
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 23:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 23:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 23:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 23:50
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 23:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.94%E -5.88%K -38.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.02%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-25 00:05
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.02%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-25 00:05
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.02%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 23:38
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.02%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 23:40
BetAnything🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.02%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.02%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 23:25
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.02%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 23:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.02%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 23:39
LeoVegas🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.94%E -5.88%K -38.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.02%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-24 23:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.94%E -5.88%K -38.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.02%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-24 22:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.21%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.79%EV -7.44%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 23:29
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.50%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-24 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.50%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-24 23:39
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.13%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-24 18:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.13%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-24 17:34
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.25%E -2.68%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 07:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.44%EV -6.94%E -5.88%K -38.53%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.56%EV -14.42%E -3.56%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-25 00:03
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 22:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.3%2026-03-25 00:05
BetOpenly1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.3%2026-03-24 23:59
ProphetX1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-03-24 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-03-24 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-03-24 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-03-24 23:20
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 80.06%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.94%0.7%2026-03-25 00:04
Polymarket1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-03-24 19:44
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%2.1%2026-03-25 00:00
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%2.3%2026-03-24 17:45