La escuela de los momios

Cleveland Cavaliers v Orlando Magic

Inicio: 2026-03-25 00:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Predicción 78.87%1.27momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -2.43%
Kelly -13.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.63%78.90%78.87%81.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.211.211.2385.47%82.70%82.64%81.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Orlando Magic (Visitante)

Predicción 21.13%4.73momio equitativo
EV +5.66%
Ventaja +1.13%
Kelly +1.41%
Crecimiento +0.080%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.96%21.10%21.13%23.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.524.505.0025.00%22.11%22.22%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
PlayUp1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.94%E -5.88%K -38.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +5.66%E +1.13%K +1.41%G +0.080%4.7%2026-03-25 00:05
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.72%E -6.60%K -45.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.66%E +1.13%K +1.41%G +0.080%5.5%2026-03-25 00:04
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.72%E -6.60%K -45.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.66%E +1.13%K +1.41%G +0.080%5.5%2026-03-25 00:04
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%EV -2.99%E -2.43%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%EV +1.43%E +0.299%K +0.377%G +0.005%2.1%2026-03-24 23:19
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -0.680%E -0.145%K -0.184%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-24 23:53
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -0.680%E -0.145%K -0.184%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-25 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -0.680%E -0.145%K -0.184%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-24 23:49
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -0.680%E -0.145%K -0.184%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-24 23:50
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -0.680%E -0.145%K -0.184%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-24 23:49
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -0.680%E -0.145%K -0.184%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-24 23:50
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -1.74%E -0.373%K -0.476%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 23:49
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -2.79%E -0.607%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-25 00:05
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -2.79%E -0.607%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-24 23:45
Caesars1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.79%E -0.607%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 20:59
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.79%E -0.607%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 23:14
BetMGM1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.79%E -0.607%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 23:34
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.79%E -0.607%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 23:54
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.79%E -0.607%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 23:54
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.79%E -0.607%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 23:55
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.79%E -0.607%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 23:55
Tipico (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.94%E -5.88%K -38.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.79%E -0.607%K -0.776%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-24 17:34
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 78.87%EV -2.99%E -2.43%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.13%EV -3.00%E -0.655%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-24 23:40
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -2.99%E -2.43%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV -3.64%E -0.798%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-24 18:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -3.85%E -0.846%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-24 23:49
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -3.85%E -0.846%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-24 23:50
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -3.85%E -0.846%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-24 18:19
DraftKings1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 19:44
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 19:24
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 19:24
ReBet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 23:24
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 12:38
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 19:44
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 18:19
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 22:15
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 03:59
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 12:05
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-25 00:04
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 23:49
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 23:49
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 23:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 23:50
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 23:59
Dabble (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.94%E -5.88%K -38.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.91%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.02%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-25 00:05
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.02%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-25 00:05
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.02%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 23:38
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.02%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 23:40
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.02%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:19
Codere (IT)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.57%E -3.78%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.02%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 23:25
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.02%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 23:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.02%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 23:39
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.94%E -5.88%K -38.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.02%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-24 23:49
NetBet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.94%E -5.88%K -38.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.02%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-24 22:55
MyBookie.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.21%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.79%EV -7.44%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 23:29
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.50%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-24 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.50%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-24 23:39
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.13%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-24 18:19
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.13%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-24 17:34
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.25%E -2.68%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 07:29
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.44%EV -6.94%E -5.88%K -38.53%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.56%EV -14.42%E -3.56%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-25 00:03
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.78%E -3.10%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 22:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.3%2026-03-25 00:05
BetOpenly1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.3%2026-03-24 23:59
ProphetX1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-03-24 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-03-24 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-03-24 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-03-24 23:20
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 80.06%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.94%0.7%2026-03-25 00:04
Polymarket1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-03-24 19:44
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%2.1%2026-03-25 00:00
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%2.3%2026-03-24 17:45