Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Cleveland Cavaliers v Miami Heat

Początek: 2026-03-27 23:40 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Cleveland Cavaliers (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 65.72%1.52kurs godziwy
EV -1.42%
Przewaga -0.943%
Kelly -2.83%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
64.59%65.71%65.68%67.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.381.451.451.5072.46%68.76%68.97%66.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Miami Heat (Goście)

Prognoza 34.28%2.92kurs godziwy
EV +2.83%
Przewaga +0.943%
Kelly +1.42%
Wzrost +0.040%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
32.58%34.29%34.32%35.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.632.782.803.0038.02%35.98%35.71%33.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Cleveland Cavaliers (Gospodarze): 65.72%; Miami Heat (Goście): 34.28%. Dla wyniku Miami Heat (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.92. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.83%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV +2.83%E +0.943%K +1.42%G +0.040%2.3%2026-03-27 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -1.63%E -0.567%K -0.869%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.31%E -0.811%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-27 21:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.31%E -0.811%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-27 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.31%E -0.811%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-27 23:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.31%E -0.811%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:05
Caesars🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.31%E -0.811%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.02%E -4.21%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.31%E -0.811%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:35
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.65%E -0.935%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 23:35
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.65%E -0.935%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 23:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -3.00%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-27 21:09
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -3.00%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-27 23:15
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.97%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.03%EV -3.00%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.34%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 19:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.73%E -1.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-27 23:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.73%E -1.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-27 23:30
Bet Victor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 23:19
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 23:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 23:35
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 19:20
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 19:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 22:55
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 16:34
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:35
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 21:10
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 16:35
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.67%E -4.70%K -15.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 17:55
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.03%EV -1.42%E -0.943%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.97%EV -4.37%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-27 23:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -4.37%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:05
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.73%E -1.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 23:34
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.73%E -1.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 23:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:35
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:35
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:35
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:35
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:35
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 21:34
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 22:35
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 17:20
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:30
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.73%E -1.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:35
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.73%E -1.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:35
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.73%E -1.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:35
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -9.30%E -6.74%K -24.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 21:15
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -7.99%E -5.71%K -19.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -9.85%E -3.75%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
BetOpenly1.50I 66.67%NM 66.81%3.02I 33.11%NM 33.19%-0.2%2026-03-27 23:29
ProphetX1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-27 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-27 23:30
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-27 23:30
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-27 20:20
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 65.83%2.89I 34.60%NM 34.17%1.3%2026-03-27 23:35
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%2.3%2026-03-27 23:35