L’École des cotes

Cleveland Cavaliers v Miami Heat

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-27 23:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Prévision 65.72%1.52cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.943%
Kelly -2.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.59%65.71%65.68%67.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.451.451.5072.46%68.76%68.97%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miami Heat (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.28%2.92cote équitable
EV +2.83%
Avantage +0.943%
Kelly +1.42%
Croissance +0.040%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.58%34.29%34.32%35.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.782.803.0038.02%35.98%35.71%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV +2.83%E +0.943%K +1.42%G +0.040%2.3%2026-03-27 23:00
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -1.63%E -0.567%K -0.869%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 23:00
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.31%E -0.811%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-27 21:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.31%E -0.811%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-27 23:00
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.31%E -0.811%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-27 23:00
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.31%E -0.811%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:05
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.31%E -0.811%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.02%E -4.21%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.31%E -0.811%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:35
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.65%E -0.935%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 23:35
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.65%E -0.935%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 23:35
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -3.00%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-27 21:09
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -3.00%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-27 23:15
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.97%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.03%EV -3.00%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 23:00
Coolbet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.34%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 19:35
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.73%E -1.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-27 23:35
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.73%E -1.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-27 23:30
Bet Victor1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 23:19
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 23:30
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 23:35
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 23:35
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 23:35
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 19:20
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 19:20
Betr (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 19:35
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 22:55
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 16:34
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:35
BetAnything1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 21:10
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 16:35
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.67%E -4.70%K -15.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 17:55
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 65.03%EV -1.42%E -0.943%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.97%EV -4.37%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-27 23:35
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -4.37%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:05
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.73%E -1.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 23:34
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.73%E -1.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 23:30
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:29
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:35
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:35
Dabble (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:35
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:35
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:35
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:35
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:35
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 21:34
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 22:35
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 17:20
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:30
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.73%E -1.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:35
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.73%E -1.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:35
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.73%E -1.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:35
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:30
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:30
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -9.30%E -6.74%K -24.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 21:15
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -7.99%E -5.71%K -19.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -9.85%E -3.75%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.50I 66.67%NM 66.81%3.02I 33.11%NM 33.19%-0.2%2026-03-27 23:29
ProphetX1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-27 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-27 23:30
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-27 23:30
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-27 20:20
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 65.83%2.89I 34.60%NM 34.17%1.3%2026-03-27 23:35
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%2.3%2026-03-27 23:35