La escuela de los momios

Cleveland Cavaliers v Miami Heat

Inicio: 2026-03-27 23:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Predicción 65.72%1.52momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.943%
Kelly -2.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.59%65.71%65.68%67.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.451.451.5072.46%68.76%68.97%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Miami Heat (Visitante)

Predicción 34.28%2.92momio equitativo
EV +2.83%
Ventaja +0.943%
Kelly +1.42%
Crecimiento +0.040%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.58%34.29%34.32%35.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.782.803.0038.02%35.98%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV +2.83%E +0.943%K +1.42%G +0.040%2.3%2026-03-27 23:00
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -1.63%E -0.567%K -0.869%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 23:00
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.31%E -0.811%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-27 21:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.31%E -0.811%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-27 23:00
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.31%E -0.811%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-27 23:00
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.31%E -0.811%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:05
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.31%E -0.811%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.02%E -4.21%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.31%E -0.811%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:35
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.65%E -0.935%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 23:35
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.65%E -0.935%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 23:35
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -3.00%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-27 21:09
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -3.00%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-27 23:15
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.97%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.03%EV -3.00%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 23:00
Coolbet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.34%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 19:35
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.73%E -1.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-27 23:35
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.73%E -1.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-27 23:30
Bet Victor1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 23:19
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 23:30
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 23:35
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 23:35
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 23:35
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 19:20
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 19:20
Betr (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 19:35
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 22:55
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 16:34
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:35
BetAnything1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 21:10
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 16:35
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.67%E -4.70%K -15.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 17:55
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 65.03%EV -1.42%E -0.943%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.97%EV -4.37%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-27 23:35
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -4.37%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:05
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.73%E -1.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 23:34
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.73%E -1.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 23:30
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:29
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:35
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:35
Dabble (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:35
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:35
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:35
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:35
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.70%E -3.24%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:35
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 21:34
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 22:35
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 17:20
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.74%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:30
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.73%E -1.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:35
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.73%E -1.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:35
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.73%E -1.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:35
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.39%E -2.30%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:30
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.36%E -3.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:30
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -9.30%E -6.74%K -24.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.45%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 21:15
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -7.99%E -5.71%K -19.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -9.85%E -3.75%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.50I 66.67%NM 66.81%3.02I 33.11%NM 33.19%-0.2%2026-03-27 23:29
ProphetX1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-27 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-27 23:30
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-27 23:30
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-03-27 23:35
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-27 20:20
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 65.83%2.89I 34.60%NM 34.17%1.3%2026-03-27 23:35
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%2.3%2026-03-27 23:35