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Cleveland Cavaliers v Detroit Pistons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)
Prediction 43.56%2.30fair odd
EV +2.36%
Edge +1.00%
Kelly +1.75%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.69%43.48%43.55%45.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.192.202.3548.54%45.75%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Detroit Pistons (Visit)
Prediction 56.44%1.77fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.700%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.64%56.52%56.45%58.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.701.7561.73%58.95%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Cavaliers (Local): 43.56%; Detroit Pistons (Visit): 56.44%. For Cleveland Cavaliers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.36%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV +2.36%E +1.00%K +1.75%G +0.041% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -5.18%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-03 23:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -0.255%E -0.111%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-03 23:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.691%E -0.303%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -1.13%E -0.496%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 20:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 20:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 21:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 21:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.18%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 23:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 23:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.56%E -5.29%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57%EV -2.92%E -1.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.30%E -1.49%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 23:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.74%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 23:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -1.22%E -0.700%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.92%E -1.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.92%E -1.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.48%E -2.04%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 23:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 23:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 23:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 23:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.18%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 22:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 23:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -5.05%E -2.31%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -2.35%E -1.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-03 16:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.22%E -0.700%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.22%E -0.700%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.22%E -0.700%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.22%E -0.700%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.92%E -1.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.48%E -2.04%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 23:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.66%E -3.61%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.79%E -1.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.66%E -3.61%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.79%E -1.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.66%E -3.61%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.79%E -1.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.66%E -3.61%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.79%E -1.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.66%E -3.61%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.35%E -1.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.66%E -3.61%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.35%E -1.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.66%E -3.61%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.35%E -1.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.92%E -1.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.56%E -5.29%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -9.84%E -4.75%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -10.27%E -4.99%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -3.48%E -2.04%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 0.2% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-03-03 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-03-03 19:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 1.2% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 1.6% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.29% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.71% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |