La escuela de los momios

Cleveland Cavaliers v Detroit Pistons

Inicio: 2026-03-04 00:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Predicción 43.56%2.30momio equitativo
EV +2.36%
Ventaja +1.00%
Kelly +1.75%
Crecimiento +0.041%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.69%43.48%43.55%45.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.062.192.202.3548.54%45.75%45.45%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Detroit Pistons (Visitante)

Predicción 56.44%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.700%
Kelly -1.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.64%56.52%56.45%58.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.701.701.7561.73%58.95%58.82%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV +2.36%E +1.00%K +1.75%G +0.041%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -5.18%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-03 23:39
BetUS2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -0.255%E -0.111%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-03 23:15
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.691%E -0.303%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 23:55
LowVig.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -1.13%E -0.496%K -0.887%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-03 23:55
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 20:54
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 20:55
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 23:55
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 23:55
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 21:00
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 21:25
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.18%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 00:05
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 23:14
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 23:15
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:05
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.00%E -0.888%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.56%E -5.29%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 00:00
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57%EV -2.92%E -1.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-04 00:00
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.30%E -1.49%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 23:25
Coolbet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.74%E -1.69%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 23:54
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -1.22%E -0.700%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-03 23:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.92%E -1.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 21:05
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.92%E -1.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 14:25
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.48%E -2.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 23:38
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:05
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:05
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 23:25
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 23:25
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 23:39
MyBookie.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.18%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 22:39
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 23:20
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 23:19
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 23:20
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 17:15
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.18%E -1.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:00
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -5.05%E -2.31%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -2.35%E -1.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 16:05
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.22%E -0.700%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 00:00
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.22%E -0.700%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 00:00
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.22%E -0.700%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 00:00
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.22%E -0.700%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 00:00
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.92%E -1.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:00
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.48%E -2.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 18:10
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:05
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 23:25
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:00
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 14:25
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:00
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 23:59
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 23:50
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 00:00
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.35%E -2.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 00:00
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.66%E -3.61%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.79%E -1.03%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 00:00
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.66%E -3.61%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.79%E -1.03%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 00:00
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.66%E -3.61%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.79%E -1.03%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 00:00
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.66%E -3.61%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.79%E -1.03%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 00:00
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.66%E -3.61%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.35%E -1.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 00:00
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.66%E -3.61%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.35%E -1.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 00:00
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.66%E -3.61%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.35%E -1.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.92%E -1.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 00:00
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 23:55
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.53%E -4.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.56%E -5.29%K -13.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-04 00:05
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -9.84%E -4.75%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 00:00
Unibet (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -10.27%E -4.99%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -3.48%E -2.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 23:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%0.2%2026-03-04 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-03-03 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-03-03 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-03-03 23:55
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-03-04 00:05
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-03-04 00:05
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-03-03 19:15
ProphetX2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%1.2%2026-03-04 00:05
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-03-04 00:05
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 45.29%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.71%2.7%2026-03-03 23:59