Language:English
Cleveland Cavaliers v Dallas Mavericks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)
Prediction 88.30%1.13fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -28.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.38%88.02%88.22%89.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.081.081.1095.24%92.40%92.59%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dallas Mavericks (Visit)
Prediction 11.70%8.54fair odd
EV +5.34%
Edge +0.594%
Kelly +0.668%
Growth +0.036%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.54%11.98%11.78%14.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.938.009.0016.00%12.61%12.50%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Cavaliers (Local): 88.30%; Dallas Mavericks (Visit): 11.70%. For Dallas Mavericks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.54. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.41%E -6.04%K -106.79%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +5.34%E +0.594%K +0.668%G +0.036% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 19:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.41%E -6.04%K -106.79%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +5.34%E +0.594%K +0.668%G +0.036% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.27%EV -5.52%E -5.16%K -78.92%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.73%EV +4.17%E +0.469%K +0.528%G +0.022% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.98%EV -3.76%E -3.45%K -41.76%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.02%EV +3.00%E +0.341%K +0.385%G +0.012% | 3.1% | 2026-03-15 19:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV +2.42%E +0.276%K +0.312%G +0.008% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV +1.83%E +0.211%K +0.238%G +0.004% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 19:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV +1.83%E +0.211%K +0.238%G +0.004% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 19:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.508%E -0.060%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.508%E -0.060%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 19:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.508%E -0.060%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.508%E -0.060%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 19:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.508%E -0.060%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 19:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.508%E -0.060%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.508%E -0.060%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.52%E -5.16%K -78.92%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.508%E -0.060%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.43%EV -3.76%E -3.45%K -41.76%G +0.000% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.57%EV -2.50%E -0.300%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.39%EV -3.76%E -3.45%K -41.76%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.61%EV -2.85%E -0.343%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -2.88%E -2.61%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV -3.43%E -0.416%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-15 19:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -3.43%E -0.416%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -3.43%E -0.416%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -3.43%E -0.416%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 19:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -7.29%E -6.94%K -145.80%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -3.43%E -0.416%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 19:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17%EV -2.88%E -2.61%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83%EV -4.02%E -0.490%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-15 19:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -4.02%E -0.490%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 19:31 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -3.76%E -3.45%K -41.76%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -5.31%E -0.656%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.17%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 8.05I 12.42%NM 11.83%EV -5.78%E -0.717%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 19:28 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -2.88%E -2.61%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.76%E -3.45%K -41.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 19:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.76%E -3.45%K -41.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 19:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.76%E -3.45%K -41.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.76%E -3.45%K -41.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 19:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 19:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 19:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.52%E -5.16%K -78.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.52%E -5.16%K -78.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 19:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.52%E -5.16%K -78.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.52%E -5.16%K -78.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.52%E -5.16%K -78.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.52%E -5.16%K -78.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -5.52%E -5.16%K -78.92%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV -8.70%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 19:36 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -6.41%E -6.04%K -106.79%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -9.29%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 19:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.88%E -2.61%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.21%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.88%E -2.61%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.21%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 19:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.88%E -2.61%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.21%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.88%E -2.61%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.21%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.88%E -2.61%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.21%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.88%E -2.61%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.21%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.76%E -3.45%K -41.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.21%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.21%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.88%E -2.61%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -18.07%E -2.58%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.88%E -2.61%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -18.07%E -2.58%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.88%E -2.61%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -18.07%E -2.58%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.76%E -3.45%K -41.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -18.07%E -2.58%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.76%E -3.45%K -41.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -18.07%E -2.58%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.76%E -3.45%K -41.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -18.07%E -2.58%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.07%E -2.58%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.07%E -2.58%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -20.99%E -3.11%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.54%EV -7.29%E -6.94%K -145.80%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -20.99%E -3.11%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -5.52%E -5.16%K -78.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -26.84%E -4.30%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 19:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.57% | 10.57I 9.46%NM 9.43% | 0.4% | 2026-03-15 19:29 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.50% | 8.62I 11.60%NM 11.50% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 19:38 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.0% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.0% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.57% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43% | 1.7% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.98% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.02% | 3.1% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |