La escuela de los momios

Cleveland Cavaliers v Dallas Mavericks

Inicio: 2026-03-15 19:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Predicción 88.30%1.13momio equitativo
EV -2.88%
Ventaja -2.61%
Kelly -28.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
85.38%88.02%88.22%89.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.051.081.081.1095.24%92.40%92.59%90.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dallas Mavericks (Visitante)

Predicción 11.70%8.54momio equitativo
EV +5.34%
Ventaja +0.594%
Kelly +0.668%
Crecimiento +0.036%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.54%11.98%11.78%14.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.257.938.009.0016.00%12.61%12.50%11.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Dabble (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.41%E -6.04%K -106.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +5.34%E +0.594%K +0.668%G +0.036%5.5%2026-03-15 19:39
theScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.41%E -6.04%K -106.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +5.34%E +0.594%K +0.668%G +0.036%5.5%2026-03-15 19:40
Fliff1.07I 93.46%NM 89.27%EV -5.52%E -5.16%K -78.92%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.73%EV +4.17%E +0.469%K +0.528%G +0.022%4.7%2026-03-15 19:40
Pinnacle1.09I 91.74%NM 88.98%EV -3.76%E -3.45%K -41.76%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.02%EV +3.00%E +0.341%K +0.385%G +0.012%3.1%2026-03-15 19:39
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV +2.42%E +0.276%K +0.312%G +0.008%4.0%2026-03-15 19:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV +1.83%E +0.211%K +0.238%G +0.004%4.1%2026-03-15 19:30
ReBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV +1.83%E +0.211%K +0.238%G +0.004%4.1%2026-03-15 19:29
FanDuel1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.508%E -0.060%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 19:40
Unibet (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.508%E -0.060%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 19:29
PointsBet (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.508%E -0.060%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 19:40
PlayUp1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.508%E -0.060%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 19:39
BetMGM1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.508%E -0.060%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 19:39
BetAnything1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.508%E -0.060%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 19:40
Hard Rock Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.508%E -0.060%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 19:40
DraftKings1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.52%E -5.16%K -78.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.508%E -0.060%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 19:40
LowVig.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 88.43%EV -3.76%E -3.45%K -41.76%G +0.000%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.57%EV -2.50%E -0.300%K -0.341%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 19:40
Fanatics1.09I 91.74%NM 88.39%EV -3.76%E -3.45%K -41.76%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.61%EV -2.85%E -0.343%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 19:40
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -2.88%E -2.61%K -28.75%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV -3.43%E -0.416%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 19:39
Neds1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -3.43%E -0.416%K -0.474%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -3.43%E -0.416%K -0.474%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 19:40
Bovada1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -3.43%E -0.416%K -0.474%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 19:39
NetBet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -7.29%E -6.94%K -145.80%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -3.43%E -0.416%K -0.474%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 19:30
GTbets1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17%EV -2.88%E -2.61%K -28.75%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83%EV -4.02%E -0.490%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 19:39
Codere (IT)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -4.02%E -0.490%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 19:31
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -3.76%E -3.45%K -41.76%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -5.31%E -0.656%K -0.749%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 19:40
MyBookie.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.17%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.83%EV -5.78%E -0.717%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 19:28
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -2.88%E -2.61%K -28.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 19:40
Coolbet1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.76%E -3.45%K -41.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 19:39
Betr (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.76%E -3.45%K -41.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 19:30
Caesars1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.76%E -3.45%K -41.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 19:40
BetUS1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.76%E -3.45%K -41.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 19:39
Betsson1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 19:39
NordicBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 19:40
Unibet (NL)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 19:40
Everygame1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 19:39
Paddy Power1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.52%E -5.16%K -78.92%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 19:40
BoyleSports1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.52%E -5.16%K -78.92%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 19:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.52%E -5.16%K -78.92%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 19:40
William Hill1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.52%E -5.16%K -78.92%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 19:40
Coral1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.52%E -5.16%K -78.92%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.52%E -5.16%K -78.92%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.36%E -0.795%K -0.909%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 19:40
Tipico (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -5.52%E -5.16%K -78.92%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV -8.70%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 19:36
Unibet (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -6.41%E -6.04%K -106.79%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -9.29%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 19:39
TAB1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.88%E -2.61%K -28.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.21%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 19:40
Marathon Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.88%E -2.61%K -28.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.21%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 19:29
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.88%E -2.61%K -28.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.21%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 19:40
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.88%E -2.61%K -28.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.21%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 19:40
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.88%E -2.61%K -28.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.21%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 19:40
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.88%E -2.61%K -28.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.21%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 19:40
Bet Right1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.76%E -3.45%K -41.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.21%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 19:40
Sky Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.21%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 19:40
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.88%E -2.61%K -28.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -18.07%E -2.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 19:40
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.88%E -2.61%K -28.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -18.07%E -2.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 19:40
Bally Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.88%E -2.61%K -28.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -18.07%E -2.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 19:40
Betway1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.76%E -3.45%K -41.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -18.07%E -2.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.76%E -3.45%K -41.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -18.07%E -2.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 19:40
BetRivers1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.76%E -3.45%K -41.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -18.07%E -2.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 19:40
Virgin Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.07%E -2.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 19:40
LiveScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.07%E -2.58%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 19:40
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -4.64%E -4.30%K -58.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -20.99%E -3.11%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 19:40
Winamax (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 86.54%EV -7.29%E -6.94%K -145.80%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -20.99%E -3.11%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 19:40
Betclic (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -5.52%E -5.16%K -78.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -26.84%E -4.30%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 19:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.10I 90.91%NM 90.57%10.57I 9.46%NM 9.43%0.4%2026-03-15 19:29
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-03-15 19:40
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 88.50%8.62I 11.60%NM 11.50%0.9%2026-03-15 19:38
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-03-15 19:40
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-03-15 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-03-15 19:40
Kalshi1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-03-15 19:40
Polymarket1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-03-15 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 88.57%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43%1.7%2026-03-15 19:40
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 88.98%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.02%3.1%2026-03-15 19:40