La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.30
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33
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| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +4.33%E +1.01%K +1.31%G +0.057% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.84%E -5.56%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 23:40 |
| 1xBet | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV +3.61%E +0.845%K +1.10%G +0.040% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-03-04 00:49 |
| SportsBet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV +0.695%E +0.167%K +0.221%G +0.002% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 00:44 |
| Bet Victor | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.518%E -0.126%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-04 00:54 |
| FanDuel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.518%E -0.126%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.518%E -0.126%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Neds | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.518%E -0.126%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.518%E -0.126%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Paddy Power | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.518%E -0.126%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.60%E -6.23%K -34.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| Pinnacle | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.78%EV -1.25%E -0.306%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.22%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| Coolbet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-03 23:54 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-03 23:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:45 |
| DraftKings | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 23:45 |
| TAB | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| GTbets | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |
| theScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 23:45 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -8.36%E -6.91%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -3.43%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.38%EV -3.67%E -0.925%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.62%EV -3.06%E -2.39%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Everygame | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.16%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.16%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| Bovada | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.16%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.16%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.16%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.84%E -5.56%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| BetUS | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.42%EV -4.64%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.58%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -4.89%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| BetMGM | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| BetAnything | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| 888sport | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Caesars | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.58%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 23:44 |
| Bet Right | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.58%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| BoyleSports | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 00:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| Coral | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| PlayUp | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.01%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.06%E -2.39%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Betway | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.01%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.01%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Betsson | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.06%E -2.39%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| NordicBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.06%E -2.39%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -11.44%E -3.13%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.60%E -6.23%K -34.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -15.08%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV +0.729%E +0.548%K +2.21%G +0.016% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -15.08%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV +0.729%E +0.548%K +2.21%G +0.016% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -15.08%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV +0.729%E +0.548%K +2.21%G +0.016% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -15.08%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV +0.729%E +0.548%K +2.21%G +0.016% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| TABtouch | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -16.29%E -4.72%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Unibet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -16.29%E -4.72%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Bally Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -16.29%E -4.72%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| betPARX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -16.29%E -4.72%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| BetRivers | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -17.50%E -5.15%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -17.50%E -5.15%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -17.50%E -5.15%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -17.50%E -5.15%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -1.54%E -1.19%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| LeoVegas | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -18.72%E -5.59%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -2.30%E -1.78%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.96% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 78.04% | 0.1% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Novig | 4.44I 22.52%NM 22.38% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.62% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Matchbook | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Polymarket | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 1.1% | 2026-03-03 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Smarkets | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 2.0% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| ProphetX | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 2.0% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| BetOpenly | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.84% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.16% | 2.1% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |