L’École des cotes

Chicago Bulls v Oklahoma City Thunder

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 01:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago Bulls (Local)

Prévision 24.26%4.12cote équitable
EV +4.33%
Avantage +1.01%
Kelly +1.31%
Croissance +0.057%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.24%24.43%24.10%27.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.843.904.3029.85%26.01%25.64%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visiteur)

Prévision 75.74%1.32cote équitable
EV +0.729%
Avantage +0.548%
Kelly +2.21%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.03%75.57%75.90%77.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.211.271.261.3382.64%78.78%79.37%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Fliff4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +4.33%E +1.01%K +1.31%G +0.057%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.84%E -5.56%K -29.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 23:40
1xBet4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV +3.61%E +0.845%K +1.10%G +0.040%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-04 00:49
SportsBet4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV +0.695%E +0.167%K +0.221%G +0.002%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 00:44
Bet Victor4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.518%E -0.126%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-04 00:54
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.518%E -0.126%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 01:00
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.518%E -0.126%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 01:00
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.518%E -0.126%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.518%E -0.126%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 01:05
Paddy Power4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.518%E -0.126%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.60%E -6.23%K -34.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:55
Pinnacle4.07I 24.57%NM 23.78%EV -1.25%E -0.306%K -0.406%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.22%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-04 01:00
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 23:50
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 23:50
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 23:54
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 23:45
Parions Sport (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:45
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 23:45
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:55
GTbets4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:15
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 00:20
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 23:45
Dabble (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 01:05
NetBet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -8.36%E -6.91%K -39.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 00:55
Marathon Bet3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -3.43%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 22:20
LowVig.ag3.97I 25.19%NM 24.38%EV -3.67%E -0.925%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.62%EV -3.06%E -2.39%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-04 01:00
Everygame3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.16%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 23:50
Codere (IT)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.16%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 23:50
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.16%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:54
Winamax (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.16%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 01:00
Unibet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.16%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.84%E -5.56%K -29.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 00:55
BetUS3.93I 25.45%NM 24.42%EV -4.64%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.58%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 01:00
BetOnline.ag3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -4.89%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 01:00
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 23:50
BetAnything3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 01:00
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 23:55
MyBookie.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 23:50
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 23:55
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 23:55
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 23:55
Caesars3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.58%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 23:44
Bet Right3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.58%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:55
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 00:09
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 23:50
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 23:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 23:50
PlayUp3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.01%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.06%E -2.39%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 01:05
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.01%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 01:00
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.01%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 01:00
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.06%E -2.39%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:05
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.06%E -2.39%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:04
Betclic (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -11.44%E -3.13%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.60%E -6.23%K -34.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-04 01:05
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -15.08%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV +0.729%E +0.548%K +2.21%G +0.016%3.8%2026-03-04 01:05
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -15.08%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV +0.729%E +0.548%K +2.21%G +0.016%3.8%2026-03-04 01:05
ATG (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -15.08%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV +0.729%E +0.548%K +2.21%G +0.016%3.8%2026-03-04 01:05
Svenska Spel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -15.08%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV +0.729%E +0.548%K +2.21%G +0.016%3.8%2026-03-04 01:05
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -16.29%E -4.72%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 01:05
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -16.29%E -4.72%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 01:05
Bally Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -16.29%E -4.72%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 01:05
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -16.29%E -4.72%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 01:05
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -17.50%E -5.15%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 01:05
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -17.50%E -5.15%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 01:05
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -17.50%E -5.15%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -17.50%E -5.15%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -1.54%E -1.19%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 01:05
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -18.72%E -5.59%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -2.30%E -1.78%K -7.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 01:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.96%1.28I 78.13%NM 78.04%0.1%2026-03-04 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-03-04 01:05
Novig4.44I 22.52%NM 22.38%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.62%0.6%2026-03-04 01:05
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-03-04 01:00
Polymarket4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%1.1%2026-03-03 21:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-03-04 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-03-04 01:05
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-03-04 01:00
ProphetX4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-03-04 01:05
BetOpenly4.29I 23.31%NM 22.84%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.16%2.1%2026-03-04 00:59