La escuela de los momios

Chicago Bulls v Oklahoma City Thunder

Inicio: 2026-03-04 01:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago Bulls (Local)

Predicción 24.26%4.12momio equitativo
EV +4.33%
Ventaja +1.01%
Kelly +1.31%
Crecimiento +0.057%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.24%24.43%24.10%27.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.843.904.3029.85%26.01%25.64%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visitante)

Predicción 75.74%1.32momio equitativo
EV +0.729%
Ventaja +0.548%
Kelly +2.21%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.03%75.57%75.90%77.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.211.271.261.3382.64%78.78%79.37%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +4.33%E +1.01%K +1.31%G +0.057%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.84%E -5.56%K -29.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 23:40
1xBet4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV +3.61%E +0.845%K +1.10%G +0.040%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-04 00:49
SportsBet4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV +0.695%E +0.167%K +0.221%G +0.002%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 00:44
Bet Victor4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.518%E -0.126%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-04 00:54
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.518%E -0.126%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 01:00
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.518%E -0.126%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 01:00
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.518%E -0.126%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.518%E -0.126%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 01:05
Paddy Power4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.518%E -0.126%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.60%E -6.23%K -34.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:55
Pinnacle4.07I 24.57%NM 23.78%EV -1.25%E -0.306%K -0.406%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.22%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-04 01:00
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 23:50
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 23:50
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 23:54
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 23:45
Parions Sport (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:45
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 23:45
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:55
GTbets4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:15
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 00:20
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 23:45
Dabble (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 01:05
NetBet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -8.36%E -6.91%K -39.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 00:55
Marathon Bet3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -3.43%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 22:20
LowVig.ag3.97I 25.19%NM 24.38%EV -3.67%E -0.925%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.62%EV -3.06%E -2.39%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-04 01:00
Everygame3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.16%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 23:50
Codere (IT)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.16%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 23:50
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.16%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:54
Winamax (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.16%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 01:00
Unibet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.16%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.84%E -5.56%K -29.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 00:55
BetUS3.93I 25.45%NM 24.42%EV -4.64%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.58%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 01:00
BetOnline.ag3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -4.89%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 01:00
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 23:50
BetAnything3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 01:00
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 23:55
MyBookie.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 23:50
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 23:55
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 23:55
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 23:55
Caesars3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.58%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 23:44
Bet Right3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.58%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:55
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 00:09
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 23:50
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 23:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 23:50
PlayUp3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.01%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.06%E -2.39%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 01:05
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.01%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 01:00
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.01%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 01:00
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.06%E -2.39%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:05
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.06%E -2.39%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:04
Betclic (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -11.44%E -3.13%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.60%E -6.23%K -34.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-04 01:05
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -15.08%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV +0.729%E +0.548%K +2.21%G +0.016%3.8%2026-03-04 01:05
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -15.08%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV +0.729%E +0.548%K +2.21%G +0.016%3.8%2026-03-04 01:05
ATG (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -15.08%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV +0.729%E +0.548%K +2.21%G +0.016%3.8%2026-03-04 01:05
Svenska Spel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -15.08%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV +0.729%E +0.548%K +2.21%G +0.016%3.8%2026-03-04 01:05
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -16.29%E -4.72%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 01:05
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -16.29%E -4.72%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 01:05
Bally Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -16.29%E -4.72%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 01:05
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -16.29%E -4.72%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 01:05
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -17.50%E -5.15%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 01:05
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -17.50%E -5.15%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 01:05
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -17.50%E -5.15%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -17.50%E -5.15%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -1.54%E -1.19%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 01:05
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -18.72%E -5.59%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -2.30%E -1.78%K -7.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 01:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.96%1.28I 78.13%NM 78.04%0.1%2026-03-04 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-03-04 01:05
Novig4.44I 22.52%NM 22.38%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.62%0.6%2026-03-04 01:05
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-03-04 01:00
Polymarket4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%1.1%2026-03-03 21:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-03-04 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-03-04 01:05
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-03-04 01:00
ProphetX4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-03-04 01:05
BetOpenly4.29I 23.31%NM 22.84%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.16%2.1%2026-03-04 00:59