La escuela de los momiosMomios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +4.33%E +1.01%K +1.31%G +0.057% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.84%E -5.56%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 23:40 |
| 1xBet | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV +3.61%E +0.845%K +1.10%G +0.040% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-03-04 00:49 |
| SportsBet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV +0.695%E +0.167%K +0.221%G +0.002% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 00:44 |
| Bet Victor | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.518%E -0.126%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-04 00:54 |
| FanDuel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.518%E -0.126%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.518%E -0.126%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Neds | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.518%E -0.126%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.518%E -0.126%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Paddy Power | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.518%E -0.126%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.60%E -6.23%K -34.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| Pinnacle | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.78%EV -1.25%E -0.306%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.22%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| Coolbet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-03 23:54 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-03 23:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:45 |
| DraftKings | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 23:45 |
| TAB | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| GTbets | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |
| theScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 23:45 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -8.36%E -6.91%K -39.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -3.43%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.38%EV -3.67%E -0.925%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.62%EV -3.06%E -2.39%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Everygame | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.16%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.16%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| Bovada | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.16%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.16%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.16%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.84%E -5.56%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| BetUS | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.42%EV -4.64%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.58%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -4.89%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| BetMGM | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| BetAnything | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| 888sport | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Caesars | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.58%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.82%E -3.00%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 23:44 |
| Bet Right | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.58%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.57%E -3.63%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| BoyleSports | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 00:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| Coral | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| PlayUp | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.01%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.06%E -2.39%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Betway | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.01%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.33%E -4.26%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.01%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Betsson | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.06%E -2.39%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| NordicBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.06%E -2.39%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -11.44%E -3.13%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.60%E -6.23%K -34.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -15.08%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV +0.729%E +0.548%K +2.21%G +0.016% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -15.08%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV +0.729%E +0.548%K +2.21%G +0.016% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -15.08%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV +0.729%E +0.548%K +2.21%G +0.016% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -15.08%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV +0.729%E +0.548%K +2.21%G +0.016% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| TABtouch | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -16.29%E -4.72%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Unibet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -16.29%E -4.72%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Bally Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -16.29%E -4.72%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| betPARX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -16.29%E -4.72%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| BetRivers | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -17.50%E -5.15%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -17.50%E -5.15%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -17.50%E -5.15%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -0.028%E -0.021%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -17.50%E -5.15%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -1.54%E -1.19%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| LeoVegas | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -18.72%E -5.59%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -2.30%E -1.78%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.96% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 78.04% | 0.1% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Novig | 4.44I 22.52%NM 22.38% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.62% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Matchbook | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Polymarket | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 1.1% | 2026-03-03 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Smarkets | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 2.0% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| ProphetX | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 2.0% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| BetOpenly | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.84% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.16% | 2.1% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |