The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Boston Celtics v New Orleans Pelicans

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 23:42 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Celtics (Local)

Prediction 91.29%1.10fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -33.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.01%91.16%91.57%92.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.051.051.0799.01%95.44%95.24%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Orleans Pelicans (Visit)

Prediction 8.71%11.48fair odd
EV +18.01%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +1.43%
Growth +0.258%

assuming max odds 13.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.06%8.84%8.43%10.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5010.7510.5913.5511.76%9.30%9.44%7.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Celtics (Local): 91.29%; New Orleans Pelicans (Visit): 8.71%. For New Orleans Pelicans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.48. 20 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fliff🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.94%EV -5.97%E -5.80%K -199.01%G +0.000%13.55I 7.38%NM 7.06%EV +18.01%E +1.33%K +1.43%G +0.258%4.5%2026-04-10 23:40
FanDuel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.06%E -4.86%K -126.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +13.22%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.146%3.8%2026-04-10 23:39
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.06%E -4.86%K -126.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +13.22%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.146%3.8%2026-04-10 23:40
Caesars🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.06%E -4.86%K -126.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +13.22%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.146%3.8%2026-04-10 23:39
theScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.97%E -5.80%K -199.01%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +13.22%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.146%4.8%2026-04-10 23:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.88%E -6.75%K -344.16%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +13.22%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.146%5.7%2026-04-10 23:40
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.29%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%12.56I 7.96%NM 7.71%EV +9.38%E +0.747%K +0.812%G +0.076%3.2%2026-04-10 23:39
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -5.06%E -4.86%K -126.43%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +8.86%E +0.709%K +0.771%G +0.068%4.2%2026-04-10 23:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +4.51%E +0.376%K +0.410%G +0.018%3.6%2026-04-10 23:40
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +4.51%E +0.376%K +0.410%G +0.018%3.6%2026-04-10 23:40
Fanatics🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +4.51%E +0.376%K +0.410%G +0.018%3.6%2026-04-10 23:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +4.51%E +0.376%K +0.410%G +0.018%3.6%2026-04-10 23:40
TAB🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.06%E -4.86%K -126.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +4.51%E +0.376%K +0.410%G +0.018%4.5%2026-04-10 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.97%E -5.80%K -199.01%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +4.51%E +0.376%K +0.410%G +0.018%5.4%2026-04-10 23:40
Neds🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.97%E -5.80%K -199.01%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +4.51%E +0.376%K +0.410%G +0.018%5.4%2026-04-10 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.88%E -6.75%K -344.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +4.51%E +0.376%K +0.410%G +0.018%6.4%2026-04-10 23:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -7.80%E -7.72%K -779.60%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +4.51%E +0.376%K +0.410%G +0.018%7.3%2026-04-10 23:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.90%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%11.92I 8.39%NM 8.10%EV +3.81%E +0.320%K +0.349%G +0.013%3.6%2026-04-10 23:40
GTbets🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.80%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.20%EV +2.33%E +0.198%K +0.217%G +0.005%3.7%2026-04-10 23:39
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +0.153%E +0.013%K +0.015%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 23:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV -0.631%E -0.055%K -0.061%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 23:40
BetUS🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -4.20%E -0.382%K -0.420%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -4.20%E -0.382%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -4.20%E -0.382%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:40
Bovada🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -4.20%E -0.382%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:31
Paddy Power🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.06%E -4.86%K -126.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.20%E -0.382%K -0.420%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.06%E -4.86%K -126.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.20%E -0.382%K -0.420%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:40
Everygame🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.06%E -4.86%K -126.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.20%E -0.382%K -0.420%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.97%E -5.80%K -199.01%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -4.20%E -0.382%K -0.420%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 23:39
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.97%E -5.80%K -199.01%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -4.20%E -0.382%K -0.420%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.10%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.90%EV -6.38%E -0.593%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 23:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%10.59I 9.44%NM 9.02%EV -7.77%E -0.734%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 23:30
Bet Victor🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -2.32%E -2.17%K -33.12%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV -8.56%E -0.815%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-10 23:38
Unibet (NL)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -8.56%E -0.815%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -8.56%E -0.815%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -8.56%E -0.815%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -8.56%E -0.815%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -8.56%E -0.815%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 23:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -12.91%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:40
888sport🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.91%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.91%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:32
Bet Right🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.91%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:40
William Hill🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.91%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.91%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.91%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:29
PlayUp🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -2.32%E -2.17%K -33.12%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -17.26%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.26%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 23:40
BetRivers🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.26%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 23:40
TABtouch🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.26%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 23:40
Unibet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.26%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.26%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 23:40
betPARX🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.26%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.26%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.26%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 23:40
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.26%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 23:30
Betsson🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -21.62%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 23:40
NordicBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -21.62%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 23:40
Sky Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -21.62%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -21.62%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 23:40
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -21.62%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 23:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.06%E -4.86%K -126.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -21.62%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -25.97%E -3.06%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 23:40
LeoVegas🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 89.29%EV -6.88%E -6.75%K -344.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -25.97%E -3.06%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.06I 94.34%NM 94.18%17.16I 5.83%NM 5.82%0.2%2026-04-10 23:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-04-10 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-04-10 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-04-10 23:40
Novig◎1.05I 95.24%NM 94.26%17.24I 5.80%NM 5.74%1.0%2026-04-10 23:40
Kalshi◎1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-04-10 23:40
Polymarket◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.3%2026-04-10 23:40
Matchbook◎1.05I 95.24%NM 93.66%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.34%1.7%2026-04-10 23:40
ProphetX◎1.04I 96.15%NM 93.71%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.29%2.6%2026-04-10 23:40
Smarkets◎1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%14.99I 6.67%NM 6.43%3.8%2026-04-10 23:40