La escuela de los momios

Boston Celtics v New Orleans Pelicans

Inicio: 2026-04-10 23:42 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Boston Celtics (Local)

Predicción 91.29%1.10momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -2.17%
Kelly -33.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
89.01%91.16%91.57%92.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.011.051.051.0799.01%95.44%95.24%93.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New Orleans Pelicans (Visitante)

Predicción 8.71%11.48momio equitativo
EV +18.01%
Ventaja +1.33%
Kelly +1.43%
Crecimiento +0.258%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.06%8.84%8.43%10.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.5010.7510.5913.5511.76%9.30%9.44%7.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Fliff1.03I 97.09%NM 92.94%EV -5.97%E -5.80%K -199.01%G +0.000%13.55I 7.38%NM 7.06%EV +18.01%E +1.33%K +1.43%G +0.258%4.5%2026-04-10 23:40
FanDuel1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.06%E -4.86%K -126.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +13.22%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.146%3.8%2026-04-10 23:39
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.06%E -4.86%K -126.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +13.22%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.146%3.8%2026-04-10 23:40
Caesars1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.06%E -4.86%K -126.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +13.22%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.146%3.8%2026-04-10 23:39
theScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.97%E -5.80%K -199.01%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +13.22%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.146%4.8%2026-04-10 23:40
Dabble (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.88%E -6.75%K -344.16%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +13.22%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.146%5.7%2026-04-10 23:40
Pinnacle1.05I 95.24%NM 92.29%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%12.56I 7.96%NM 7.71%EV +9.38%E +0.747%K +0.812%G +0.076%3.2%2026-04-10 23:39
BetMGM1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -5.06%E -4.86%K -126.43%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +8.86%E +0.709%K +0.771%G +0.068%4.2%2026-04-10 23:39
PointsBet (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +4.51%E +0.376%K +0.410%G +0.018%3.6%2026-04-10 23:40
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +4.51%E +0.376%K +0.410%G +0.018%3.6%2026-04-10 23:40
Fanatics1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +4.51%E +0.376%K +0.410%G +0.018%3.6%2026-04-10 23:40
Hard Rock Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +4.51%E +0.376%K +0.410%G +0.018%3.6%2026-04-10 23:40
TAB1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.06%E -4.86%K -126.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +4.51%E +0.376%K +0.410%G +0.018%4.5%2026-04-10 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.97%E -5.80%K -199.01%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +4.51%E +0.376%K +0.410%G +0.018%5.4%2026-04-10 23:40
Neds1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.97%E -5.80%K -199.01%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +4.51%E +0.376%K +0.410%G +0.018%5.4%2026-04-10 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.88%E -6.75%K -344.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +4.51%E +0.376%K +0.410%G +0.018%6.4%2026-04-10 23:40
NetBet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -7.80%E -7.72%K -779.60%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +4.51%E +0.376%K +0.410%G +0.018%7.3%2026-04-10 23:29
LowVig.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 91.90%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%11.92I 8.39%NM 8.10%EV +3.81%E +0.320%K +0.349%G +0.013%3.6%2026-04-10 23:40
GTbets1.05I 95.24%NM 91.80%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.20%EV +2.33%E +0.198%K +0.217%G +0.005%3.7%2026-04-10 23:39
Coolbet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +0.153%E +0.013%K +0.015%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 23:39
BetOnline.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV -0.631%E -0.055%K -0.061%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 23:40
BetUS1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -4.20%E -0.382%K -0.420%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 23:39
Unibet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -4.20%E -0.382%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:29
Betr (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -4.20%E -0.382%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:40
Bovada1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -4.20%E -0.382%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:31
Paddy Power1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.06%E -4.86%K -126.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.20%E -0.382%K -0.420%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.06%E -4.86%K -126.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.20%E -0.382%K -0.420%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:40
Everygame1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.06%E -4.86%K -126.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.20%E -0.382%K -0.420%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.97%E -5.80%K -199.01%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -4.20%E -0.382%K -0.420%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 23:39
Coral1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.97%E -5.80%K -199.01%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -4.20%E -0.382%K -0.420%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 23:40
Marathon Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.10%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.90%EV -6.38%E -0.593%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 23:29
MyBookie.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%10.59I 9.44%NM 9.02%EV -7.77%E -0.734%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 23:30
Bet Victor1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -2.32%E -2.17%K -33.12%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV -8.56%E -0.815%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-10 23:38
Unibet (NL)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -8.56%E -0.815%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -8.56%E -0.815%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 23:40
Winamax (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -8.56%E -0.815%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 23:40
ATG (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -8.56%E -0.815%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 23:40
Svenska Spel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -8.56%E -0.815%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 23:40
Unibet (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -12.91%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:40
888sport1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.91%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:29
Codere (IT)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.91%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:32
Bet Right1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.91%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:40
William Hill1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.91%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:40
888sport (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.91%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.91%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:29
PlayUp1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -2.32%E -2.17%K -33.12%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -17.26%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.26%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 23:40
BetRivers1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.26%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 23:40
TABtouch1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.26%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 23:40
Unibet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.26%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 23:40
Virgin Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.26%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 23:40
betPARX1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.26%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 23:40
Bally Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -17.26%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.26%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 23:40
BoyleSports1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.26%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 23:30
Betsson1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -21.62%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 23:40
NordicBet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.23%E -3.05%K -53.86%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -21.62%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 23:40
Sky Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -21.62%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -21.62%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 23:40
Betway1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -21.62%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 23:40
PMU (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.06%E -4.86%K -126.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -21.62%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.14%E -3.95%K -82.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -25.97%E -3.06%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 23:40
LeoVegas1.02I 98.04%NM 89.29%EV -6.88%E -6.75%K -344.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -25.97%E -3.06%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 23:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.06I 94.34%NM 94.18%17.16I 5.83%NM 5.82%0.2%2026-04-10 23:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-04-10 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-04-10 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-04-10 23:40
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 94.26%17.24I 5.80%NM 5.74%1.0%2026-04-10 23:40
Kalshi1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-04-10 23:40
Polymarket1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.3%2026-04-10 23:40
Matchbook1.05I 95.24%NM 93.66%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.34%1.7%2026-04-10 23:40
ProphetX1.04I 96.15%NM 93.71%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.29%2.6%2026-04-10 23:40
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%14.99I 6.67%NM 6.43%3.8%2026-04-10 23:40