语言:简体中文
Boston Celtics v Golden State Warriors
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Boston Celtics (主队)
预测 82.33%1.21公平赔率
EV -2.85%
优势 -2.42%
Kelly -15.84%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.18
博彩公司预测分布
80.31%82.22%82.34%85.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.121.161.161.1889.29%86.27%86.21%84.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
Golden State Warriors (客队)
预测 17.67%5.66公平赔率
EV +13.09%
优势 +2.04%
Kelly +2.42%
增长率 +0.317%
假设最高赔率为 6.40
博彩公司预测分布
14.89%17.78%17.66%19.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.655.395.506.4021.51%18.55%18.18%15.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Boston Celtics (主队)：82.33%；Golden State Warriors (客队)：17.67%。 对于“Golden State Warriors (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.66。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.40，对应+13.09%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -7.79%E -6.96%K -64.92%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +13.09%E +2.04%K +2.42%G +0.317% | 4.9% | 2026-03-18 23:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.80%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 16.20%EV +6.90%E +1.14%K +1.37%G +0.094% | 2.0% | 2026-03-18 16:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +6.02%E +1.00%K +1.20%G +0.072% | 4.4% | 2026-03-18 23:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +2.48%E +0.428%K +0.518%G +0.013% | 4.2% | 2026-03-18 19:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +1.60%E +0.279%K +0.337%G +0.005% | 4.3% | 2026-03-18 14:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.97%E -6.17%K -53.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +1.60%E +0.279%K +0.337%G +0.005% | 5.9% | 2026-03-18 12:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.97%E -6.17%K -53.59%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +0.718%E +0.126%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-03-18 17:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.05%E -0.187%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.05%E -0.187%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 22:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.05%E -0.187%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 22:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.05%E -0.187%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -1.05%E -0.187%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-18 19:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.91%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.09%EV -1.40%E -0.251%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-18 22:28 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.62%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.38%EV -1.76%E -0.316%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-18 20:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -1.93%E -0.348%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-18 20:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -1.93%E -0.348%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-18 20:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.54%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.46%EV -2.29%E -0.413%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-18 22:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -2.85%E -2.42%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-18 22:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-18 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-18 12:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-18 02:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-18 11:23 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-18 20:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-18 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-18 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-18 14:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-18 14:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-18 20:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -3.52%E -0.645%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-18 20:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -4.58%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -4.58%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-18 23:01 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.58%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-18 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.79%E -6.96%K -64.92%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -4.58%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-18 22:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.35%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.35%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.35%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.35%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.35%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-18 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-18 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.12%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -2.85%E -2.42%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -9.88%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-18 22:58 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -9.88%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.85%E -2.42%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-18 13:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-18 04:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-18 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-18 00:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-18 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-18 22:58 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-18 23:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 23:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.85%E -2.42%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -13.42%E -2.74%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 22:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.85%E -2.42%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -13.42%E -2.74%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 22:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.31%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.88%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -17.84%E -3.84%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-18 23:02 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.85% | 6.18I 16.18%NM 16.15% | 0.2% | 2026-03-18 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-03-18 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-03-18 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-03-18 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-03-18 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.22% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.78% | 0.6% | 2026-03-18 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 0.7% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 0.7% | 2026-03-18 21:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.03% | 6.21I 16.10%NM 15.97% | 0.8% | 2026-03-18 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-03-18 23:00 |