مدرسة الاحتمالات

Boston Celtics v Golden State Warriors

البداية: 2026-03-18 23:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Boston Celtics (المضيف)

التنبؤ 82.33%1.21السعر العادل
EV -2.85%
الأفضلية -2.42%
Kelly -15.84%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.18

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
80.31%82.22%82.34%85.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.121.161.161.1889.29%86.27%86.21%84.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Golden State Warriors (الضيف)

التنبؤ 17.67%5.66السعر العادل
EV +13.09%
الأفضلية +2.04%
Kelly +2.42%
النمو +0.317%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.89%17.78%17.66%19.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.655.395.506.4021.51%18.55%18.18%15.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -7.79%E -6.96%K -64.92%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +13.09%E +2.04%K +2.42%G +0.317%4.9%2026-03-18 23:05
1xBet1.17I 85.47%NM 83.80%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 16.20%EV +6.90%E +1.14%K +1.37%G +0.094%2.0%2026-03-18 16:09
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +6.02%E +1.00%K +1.20%G +0.072%4.4%2026-03-18 23:04
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +2.48%E +0.428%K +0.518%G +0.013%4.2%2026-03-18 19:45
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +1.60%E +0.279%K +0.337%G +0.005%4.3%2026-03-18 14:39
Dabble (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.97%E -6.17%K -53.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +1.60%E +0.279%K +0.337%G +0.005%5.9%2026-03-18 12:39
Tipico (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.97%E -6.17%K -53.59%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +0.718%E +0.126%K +0.153%G +0.001%6.0%2026-03-18 17:30
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.05%E -0.187%K -0.228%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 23:00
ReBet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.05%E -0.187%K -0.228%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 22:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.05%E -0.187%K -0.228%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 22:05
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.05%E -0.187%K -0.228%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 22:50
BetAnything1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -1.05%E -0.187%K -0.228%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 19:45
MyBookie.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 82.91%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.09%EV -1.40%E -0.251%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 22:28
LowVig.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 82.62%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.38%EV -1.76%E -0.316%K -0.385%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-18 20:20
DraftKings1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -1.93%E -0.348%K -0.425%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 20:25
GTbets1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -1.93%E -0.348%K -0.425%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 20:20
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 82.54%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.46%EV -2.29%E -0.413%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-18 22:45
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -2.85%E -2.42%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-18 22:49
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-18 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-18 22:55
Unibet (NL)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-18 22:55
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-18 22:55
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-18 22:55
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 12:49
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 02:10
TAB1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 11:23
Fanatics1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 18:45
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 20:40
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 14:39
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 14:39
theScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 20:25
BetOnline.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -3.52%E -0.645%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 20:20
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -4.58%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-18 22:55
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -4.58%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-18 23:01
Codere (IT)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.58%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 23:00
NetBet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.79%E -6.96%K -64.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -4.58%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 22:10
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.35%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 22:55
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.35%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 22:55
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.35%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 22:55
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.35%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 22:55
Bovada1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.35%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:00
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 22:55
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 22:55
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 22:55
Unibet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.12%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 22:55
Marathon Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -2.85%E -2.42%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -9.88%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 22:58
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -9.88%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 22:55
PlayUp1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.85%E -2.42%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 13:39
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 04:29
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 22:55
Bet Right1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 22:50
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 00:29
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 23:05
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 22:58
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 23:05
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 23:35
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.85%E -2.42%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -13.42%E -2.74%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 22:35
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.85%E -2.42%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -13.42%E -2.74%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 22:35
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.31%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.88%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -17.84%E -3.84%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 23:02
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.19I 84.03%NM 83.85%6.18I 16.18%NM 16.15%0.2%2026-03-18 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-03-18 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-03-18 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-03-18 23:00
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-03-18 23:00
ProphetX1.18I 84.75%NM 84.22%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.78%0.6%2026-03-18 23:00
Kalshi1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-03-18 22:55
Polymarket1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-03-18 21:55
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 84.03%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.97%0.8%2026-03-18 22:55
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.6%2026-03-18 23:00