A Escola das Odds

Boston Celtics v Golden State Warriors

Início: 2026-03-18 23:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Boston Celtics (Local)

Previsão 82.33%1.21odd justa
EV -2.85%
Vantagem -2.42%
Kelly -15.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
80.31%82.22%82.34%85.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.121.161.161.1889.29%86.27%86.21%84.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Golden State Warriors (Visitante)

Previsão 17.67%5.66odd justa
EV +13.09%
Vantagem +2.04%
Kelly +2.42%
Crescimento +0.317%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.89%17.78%17.66%19.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.655.395.506.4021.51%18.55%18.18%15.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -7.79%E -6.96%K -64.92%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +13.09%E +2.04%K +2.42%G +0.317%4.9%2026-03-18 23:05
1xBet1.17I 85.47%NM 83.80%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 16.20%EV +6.90%E +1.14%K +1.37%G +0.094%2.0%2026-03-18 16:09
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +6.02%E +1.00%K +1.20%G +0.072%4.4%2026-03-18 23:04
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +2.48%E +0.428%K +0.518%G +0.013%4.2%2026-03-18 19:45
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +1.60%E +0.279%K +0.337%G +0.005%4.3%2026-03-18 14:39
Dabble (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.97%E -6.17%K -53.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +1.60%E +0.279%K +0.337%G +0.005%5.9%2026-03-18 12:39
Tipico (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.97%E -6.17%K -53.59%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +0.718%E +0.126%K +0.153%G +0.001%6.0%2026-03-18 17:30
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.05%E -0.187%K -0.228%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 23:00
ReBet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.05%E -0.187%K -0.228%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 22:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.05%E -0.187%K -0.228%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 22:05
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.05%E -0.187%K -0.228%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 22:50
BetAnything1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -1.05%E -0.187%K -0.228%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 19:45
MyBookie.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 82.91%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.09%EV -1.40%E -0.251%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 22:28
LowVig.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 82.62%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.38%EV -1.76%E -0.316%K -0.385%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-18 20:20
DraftKings1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -1.93%E -0.348%K -0.425%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 20:25
GTbets1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -1.93%E -0.348%K -0.425%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 20:20
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 82.54%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.46%EV -2.29%E -0.413%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-18 22:45
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -2.85%E -2.42%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-18 22:49
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-18 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-18 22:55
Unibet (NL)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-18 22:55
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-18 22:55
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-18 22:55
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 12:49
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 02:10
TAB1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 11:23
Fanatics1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 18:45
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 20:40
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 14:39
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 14:39
theScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 20:25
BetOnline.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -3.52%E -0.645%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 20:20
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -4.58%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-18 22:55
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -4.58%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-18 23:01
Codere (IT)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.58%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 23:00
NetBet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.79%E -6.96%K -64.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -4.58%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 22:10
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.35%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 22:55
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.35%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 22:55
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.35%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 22:55
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.35%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 22:55
Bovada1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -6.35%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:00
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 22:55
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 22:55
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 22:55
Unibet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.11%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.12%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 22:55
Marathon Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -2.85%E -2.42%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -9.88%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 22:58
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -9.88%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 22:55
PlayUp1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.85%E -2.42%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 13:39
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 04:29
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 22:55
Bet Right1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 22:50
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 00:29
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 23:05
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.67%E -3.14%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 22:58
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.32%E -4.63%K -35.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 23:05
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 23:35
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.85%E -2.42%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -13.42%E -2.74%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 22:35
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.85%E -2.42%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -13.42%E -2.74%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 22:35
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.31%EV -6.14%E -5.39%K -43.88%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -17.84%E -3.84%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 23:02
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.19I 84.03%NM 83.85%6.18I 16.18%NM 16.15%0.2%2026-03-18 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-03-18 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-03-18 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-03-18 23:00
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-03-18 23:00
ProphetX1.18I 84.75%NM 84.22%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.78%0.6%2026-03-18 23:00
Kalshi1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-03-18 22:55
Polymarket1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-03-18 21:55
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 84.03%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.97%0.8%2026-03-18 22:55
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.6%2026-03-18 23:00