Language:English
Boston Celtics v Dallas Mavericks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boston Celtics (Local)
Prediction 87.99%1.14fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -12.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.59%87.54%88.01%89.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.091.091.1295.24%91.98%91.74%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dallas Mavericks (Visit)
Prediction 12.01%8.33fair odd
EV +8.08%
Edge +0.898%
Kelly +1.01%
Growth +0.082%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.54%12.46%11.99%16.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.507.748.009.0018.18%12.92%12.50%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Celtics (Local): 87.99%; Dallas Mavericks (Visit): 12.01%. For Dallas Mavericks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.33. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.73%E -6.35%K -112.16%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +8.08%E +0.898%K +1.01%G +0.082% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.72%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 8.57I 11.67%NM 11.28%EV +2.92%E +0.340%K +0.385%G +0.011% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +2.08%E +0.244%K +0.277%G +0.006% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +2.08%E +0.244%K +0.277%G +0.006% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 00:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +2.08%E +0.244%K +0.277%G +0.006% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +2.08%E +0.244%K +0.277%G +0.006% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.08%E +0.244%K +0.277%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.08%E +0.244%K +0.277%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.08%E +0.244%K +0.277%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.85%E -5.47%K -83.57%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +2.08%E +0.244%K +0.277%G +0.006% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.57%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.43%EV +1.48%E +0.175%K +0.198%G +0.003% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.42%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 8.32I 12.02%NM 11.58%EV -0.086%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.39%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.61%EV -0.326%E -0.039%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.33%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.67%EV -0.926%E -0.112%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -0.926%E -0.112%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -7.61%E -7.25%K -152.19%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -0.926%E -0.112%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 00:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.22%EV -3.21%E -2.92%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 8.24I 12.14%NM 11.78%EV -1.05%E -0.127%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV -2.73%E -0.337%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 23:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 23:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 00:03 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 00:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 00:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.85%E -5.47%K -83.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.85%E -5.47%K -83.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.85%E -5.47%K -83.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV -6.33%E -0.812%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 00:02 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -5.85%E -5.47%K -83.57%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV -6.33%E -0.812%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.66%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 7.74I 12.92%NM 12.34%EV -7.05%E -0.911%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.60%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.40%EV -7.53%E -0.978%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 23:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.21%E -2.92%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -9.93%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.21%E -2.92%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -9.93%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.93%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.93%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.93%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 00:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.93%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 00:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.93%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 00:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.73%E -6.35%K -112.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -9.93%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -3.21%E -2.92%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV -11.13%E -1.50%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 00:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -1.45%E -1.29%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -15.94%E -2.28%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 00:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -1.45%E -1.29%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -15.94%E -2.28%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.33%E -2.10%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -15.94%E -2.28%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.21%E -2.92%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -15.94%E -2.28%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.21%E -2.92%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -15.94%E -2.28%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.21%E -2.92%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -15.94%E -2.28%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.38%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.62%EV -17.74%E -2.59%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 00:06 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.21%E -2.92%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -21.94%E -3.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.21%E -2.92%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -21.94%E -3.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.21%E -2.92%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -21.94%E -3.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.21%E -2.92%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -21.94%E -3.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.95%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV -31.55%E -5.53%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.59%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -33.95%E -6.17%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.34% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.66% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.82% | 9.71I 10.30%NM 10.18% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 00:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.51% | 10.40I 9.62%NM 9.49% | 1.4% | 2026-03-07 00:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.80% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.20% | 2.2% | 2026-03-07 00:10 |