La escuela de los momios

Boston Celtics v Dallas Mavericks

Inicio: 2026-03-07 00:12 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Boston Celtics (Local)

Predicción 87.99%1.14momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -12.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
83.59%87.54%88.01%89.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.051.091.091.1295.24%91.98%91.74%89.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dallas Mavericks (Visitante)

Predicción 12.01%8.33momio equitativo
EV +8.08%
Ventaja +0.898%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.082%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.54%12.46%11.99%16.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.507.748.009.0018.18%12.92%12.50%11.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.73%E -6.35%K -112.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +8.08%E +0.898%K +1.01%G +0.082%5.5%2026-03-07 00:09
LowVig.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 88.72%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000%8.57I 11.67%NM 11.28%EV +2.92%E +0.340%K +0.385%G +0.011%3.4%2026-03-07 00:09
Unibet (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +2.08%E +0.244%K +0.277%G +0.006%3.5%2026-03-07 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +2.08%E +0.244%K +0.277%G +0.006%3.5%2026-03-07 00:10
ATG (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +2.08%E +0.244%K +0.277%G +0.006%3.5%2026-03-07 00:10
Svenska Spel1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +2.08%E +0.244%K +0.277%G +0.006%3.5%2026-03-07 00:09
PointsBet (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.08%E +0.244%K +0.277%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-07 00:09
DraftKings1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.08%E +0.244%K +0.277%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-07 00:09
Caesars1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.08%E +0.244%K +0.277%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-07 00:09
Dabble (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.85%E -5.47%K -83.57%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +2.08%E +0.244%K +0.277%G +0.006%5.2%2026-03-07 00:09
GTbets1.09I 91.74%NM 88.57%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000%8.45I 11.83%NM 11.43%EV +1.48%E +0.175%K +0.198%G +0.003%3.6%2026-03-07 00:09
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 88.42%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000%8.32I 12.02%NM 11.58%EV -0.086%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 00:09
BetUS1.09I 91.74%NM 88.39%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.61%EV -0.326%E -0.039%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 00:09
BetAnything1.09I 91.74%NM 88.33%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.67%EV -0.926%E -0.112%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 00:09
BetMGM1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -0.926%E -0.112%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 00:09
NetBet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -7.61%E -7.25%K -152.19%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -0.926%E -0.112%K -0.128%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 00:00
Pinnacle1.10I 90.91%NM 88.22%EV -3.21%E -2.92%K -32.10%G +0.000%8.24I 12.14%NM 11.78%EV -1.05%E -0.127%K -0.145%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 00:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV -2.73%E -0.337%K -0.384%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 23:59
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 00:10
Unibet (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 23:58
SportsBet1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 00:09
Coolbet1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 00:03
Fanatics1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 00:09
Betr (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 00:09
TABtouch1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 00:10
Virgin Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 00:09
BetRivers1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 00:09
Unibet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 00:09
Bovada1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 00:04
Bally Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 00:10
betPARX1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.85%E -5.47%K -83.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 00:09
Coral1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.85%E -5.47%K -83.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.85%E -5.47%K -83.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 00:09
Codere (IT)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV -6.33%E -0.812%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:02
Tipico (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -5.85%E -5.47%K -83.57%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV -6.33%E -0.812%K -0.931%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 00:09
MyBookie.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.66%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000%7.74I 12.92%NM 12.34%EV -7.05%E -0.911%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 00:04
Marathon Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.60%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.40%EV -7.53%E -0.978%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 23:59
TAB1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.21%E -2.92%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -9.93%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 00:09
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.21%E -2.92%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -9.93%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 00:09
Bet Right1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.93%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 00:09
Neds1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.93%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.93%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 00:10
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.93%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 00:00
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.93%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 00:00
LeoVegas1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.73%E -6.35%K -112.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -9.93%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 00:09
Fliff1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -3.21%E -2.92%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV -11.13%E -1.50%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 00:10
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -1.45%E -1.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -15.94%E -2.28%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 00:08
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -1.45%E -1.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -15.94%E -2.28%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 00:09
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.33%E -2.10%K -21.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -15.94%E -2.28%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 00:09
Sky Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.21%E -2.92%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -15.94%E -2.28%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 00:09
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.21%E -2.92%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -15.94%E -2.28%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 00:09
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.21%E -2.92%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -15.94%E -2.28%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 00:09
Unibet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.38%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.62%EV -17.74%E -2.59%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 00:06
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.21%E -2.92%K -32.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -21.94%E -3.38%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.21%E -2.92%K -32.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -21.94%E -3.38%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 00:09
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.21%E -2.92%K -32.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -21.94%E -3.38%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 00:09
Hard Rock Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.21%E -2.92%K -32.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -21.94%E -3.38%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 00:09
Betclic (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.95%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV -31.55%E -5.53%K -6.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 00:05
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 83.59%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -33.95%E -6.17%K -7.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-07 00:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-03-07 00:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-03-07 00:09
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 89.34%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.66%0.8%2026-03-07 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-07 00:09
Kalshi1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-03-07 00:10
Polymarket1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-03-07 00:09
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 89.82%9.71I 10.30%NM 10.18%1.2%2026-03-07 00:10
BetOpenly1.09I 91.74%NM 90.51%10.40I 9.62%NM 9.49%1.4%2026-03-07 00:00
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%1.5%2026-03-07 00:10
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 89.80%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.20%2.2%2026-03-07 00:10