Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.50
assuming max odds 2.92
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Celtics (Local): 65.22%; Atlanta Hawks (Visit): 34.78%. For Atlanta Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.88. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.56%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -6.74%E -4.71%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +1.56%E +0.534%K +0.812%G +0.013% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -6.08%E -4.23%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV +0.864%E +0.298%K +0.455%G +0.004% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -0.875%E -0.307%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.08%E -4.23%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.875%E -0.307%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.08%E -4.23%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.875%E -0.307%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.57%E -0.555%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.78%E -3.27%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -1.92%E -0.680%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 23:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.35%EV -2.82%E -1.89%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.65%EV -2.27%E -0.806%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-27 23:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -4.78%E -3.27%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -2.27%E -0.806%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.61%E -0.934%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.78%E -3.27%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.61%E -0.934%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 23:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.78%E -3.27%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.61%E -0.934%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.43%E -3.75%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.61%E -0.934%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 23:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.43%E -3.75%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.61%E -0.934%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.43%E -3.75%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.61%E -0.934%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 23:38 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.08%E -4.23%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.61%E -0.934%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.39%E -5.20%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.61%E -0.934%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.43%E -3.75%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.31%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-27 23:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.17%E -1.45%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-27 23:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 23:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 23:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 23:38 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 23:28 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 23:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.78%E -3.27%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.43%E -3.75%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.08%E -4.23%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.08%E -4.23%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.08%E -4.23%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.08%E -4.23%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -4.70%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 23:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.17%E -1.45%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 23:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.78%E -3.27%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.43%E -3.75%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.08%E -4.23%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 23:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.08%E -4.23%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.76%EV -9.35%E -6.72%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.24%EV -7.14%E -2.67%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.83%E -2.96%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.08%E -4.23%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.87%E -3.39%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 23:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.69%E -6.21%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -4.78%E -3.27%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -13.05%E -5.22%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.84% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 34.16% | -0.1% | 2026-03-27 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.14% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.86% | 0.8% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 0.9% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.4% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |