Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Celtics v Atlanta Hawks

Inicio: 2026-03-27 23:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Celtics (Local)

Predicción 65.22%1.53momio equitativo
EV -2.17%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -4.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.13%65.21%65.09%67.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.391.461.471.5071.94%68.41%68.03%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Hawks (Visitante)

Predicción 34.78%2.88momio equitativo
EV +1.56%
Ventaja +0.534%
Kelly +0.812%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.87%34.79%34.91%36.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.742.752.9240.00%36.49%36.36%34.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Boston Celtics (Local): 65.22%; Atlanta Hawks (Visitante): 34.78%. Para Atlanta Hawks (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.88. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.92, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.56%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Caesars🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -6.74%E -4.71%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +1.56%E +0.534%K +0.812%G +0.013%4.2%2026-03-27 23:40
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -6.08%E -4.23%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV +0.864%E +0.298%K +0.455%G +0.004%3.9%2026-03-27 23:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -0.875%E -0.307%K -0.473%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-27 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.08%E -4.23%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.875%E -0.307%K -0.473%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:40
BetAnything🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.08%E -4.23%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.875%E -0.307%K -0.473%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.57%E -0.555%K -0.858%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-27 23:40
Coolbet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.78%E -3.27%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -1.92%E -0.680%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 23:39
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.35%EV -2.82%E -1.89%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.65%EV -2.27%E -0.806%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-27 23:39
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -4.78%E -3.27%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -2.27%E -0.806%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:40
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.61%E -0.934%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 23:40
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.78%E -3.27%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.61%E -0.934%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 23:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.78%E -3.27%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.61%E -0.934%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 23:40
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.43%E -3.75%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.61%E -0.934%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:39
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.43%E -3.75%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.61%E -0.934%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:40
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.43%E -3.75%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.61%E -0.934%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:38
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.08%E -4.23%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.61%E -0.934%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.39%E -5.20%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.61%E -0.934%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.43%E -3.75%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.31%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:33
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.17%E -1.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-27 23:38
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 23:29
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 23:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 23:40
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 23:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 23:28
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 23:40
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:29
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.78%E -3.27%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.43%E -3.75%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:40
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.08%E -4.23%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:40
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.08%E -4.23%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.08%E -4.23%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:40
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.08%E -4.23%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.35%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:40
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -4.70%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.17%E -1.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 23:40
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:40
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:40
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:40
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:30
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:40
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:40
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:40
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:40
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.78%E -3.27%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.43%E -3.75%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.08%E -4.23%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.08%E -4.23%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.09%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.76%EV -9.35%E -6.72%K -23.96%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.24%EV -7.14%E -2.67%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 23:30
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.83%E -2.96%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:40
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.08%E -4.23%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.87%E -3.39%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 23:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.48%E -2.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.13%E -2.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:40
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.69%E -6.21%K -21.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.57%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-27 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -4.78%E -3.27%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -13.05%E -5.22%K -8.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.52I 65.79%NM 65.84%2.93I 34.13%NM 34.16%-0.1%2026-03-27 23:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-03-27 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-03-27 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-03-27 23:40
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 66.14%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.86%0.8%2026-03-27 23:40
ProphetX1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-03-27 23:40
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-03-27 23:40
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-27 23:40
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-27 23:40
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%1.4%2026-03-27 23:40