Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Hawks v Washington Wizards

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 00:42 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Hawks (Local)

Prediction 83.11%1.20fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -10.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.82%82.77%83.35%85.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.151.151.1890.09%87.07%86.96%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Wizards (Visit)

Prediction 16.89%5.92fair odd
EV +8.11%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +1.50%
Growth +0.122%

assuming max odds 6.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.89%17.23%16.65%20.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.555.585.606.4021.98%17.92%17.86%15.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Hawks (Local): 83.11%; Washington Wizards (Visit): 16.89%. For Washington Wizards (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.92. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fliff🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.92%E -6.18%K -57.65%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +8.11%E +1.27%K +1.50%G +0.122%4.9%2026-02-25 00:39
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 83.99%EV -2.76%E -2.36%K -16.25%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 16.01%EV +3.71%E +0.605%K +0.722%G +0.027%1.8%2026-02-25 00:20
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV +3.04%E +0.498%K +0.596%G +0.018%4.1%2026-02-25 00:29
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.92%E -6.18%K -57.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +1.35%E +0.225%K +0.270%G +0.004%6.0%2026-02-24 21:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.92%E -6.18%K -57.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +1.35%E +0.225%K +0.270%G +0.004%6.0%2026-02-25 00:30
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -0.340%E -0.058%K -0.069%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 00:30
Coolbet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -0.340%E -0.058%K -0.069%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 22:53
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.55%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.45%EV -0.509%E -0.086%K -0.104%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-25 00:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.50%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.50%EV -0.847%E -0.144%K -0.174%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-25 00:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -2.71%E -0.470%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 00:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.48%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.52%EV -2.71%E -0.470%K -0.568%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 23:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-24 23:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-24 23:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-24 23:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-24 23:14
GTbets🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 22:54
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 22:54
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 23:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 21:05
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 00:40
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 21:34
888sport🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.09%E -5.39%K -46.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 21:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.09%E -5.39%K -46.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 21:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.09%E -5.39%K -46.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 21:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.09%E -5.39%K -46.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 00:35
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.09%E -5.39%K -46.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.87%E -0.500%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 00:30
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -3.72%E -0.652%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-24 21:39
Everygame🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -3.72%E -0.652%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-24 22:54
BetAnything🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -3.72%E -0.652%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 00:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.70%EV -7.75%E -6.98%K -70.45%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -3.72%E -0.652%K -0.791%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 00:24
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -5.41%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -5.41%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:39
Caesars🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -5.41%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 21:44
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -5.41%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 23:04
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 21:40
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 23:14
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 23:19
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 23:15
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 23:14
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 00:20
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 21:40
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 00:30
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 21:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 00:30
Coral🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.10%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 22:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.70%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.30%EV -7.94%E -1.46%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 00:30
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -1.93%E -1.64%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV -8.79%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-25 00:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.79%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.79%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 23:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.79%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.79%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 23:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -8.79%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 23:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -1.93%E -1.64%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -10.48%E -1.98%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-25 00:34
PlayUp🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.76%E -2.36%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -11.32%E -2.16%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 00:34
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -11.32%E -2.16%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 22:59
LeoVegas🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.09%E -5.39%K -46.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -11.32%E -2.16%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 23:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -2.76%E -2.36%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -12.16%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 00:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.76%E -2.36%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -15.54%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 00:34
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.76%E -2.36%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -15.54%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 00:30
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.26%E -4.61%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -15.54%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-24 22:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.59%E -3.10%K -22.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -17.23%E -3.52%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 00:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -4.43%E -3.85%K -29.50%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18%EV -23.14%E -5.09%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-25 00:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 83.68%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.32%0.4%2026-02-25 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-02-25 00:35
Matchbook1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-02-25 00:35
ProphetX1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-02-25 00:40
Polymarket1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-02-25 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-02-25 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-02-25 00:39
BetOpenly1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-02-25 00:29
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-02-25 00:35
Kalshi1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65%2.2%2026-02-24 23:35